Persistent warm air advection from the south, combined with high dew points near 77°F and minimal overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, kept Dallas overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s on September 2. Official observations from DFW International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 78–80°F amid a strong heat dome, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 74.5°F and consistent with recent years’ September 2 readings of 71–80°F. The market’s 96% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin reflects this verified observational consensus, with only modest model spread in post-event analyses. Unlikely shifts could arise from revised station data or measurement timing adjustments, though such revisions remain rare for established airport records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日達拉斯的最低溫度？
9月2日達拉斯的最低溫度？
80-81°F 97%
華氏69度或以下 11%
76-77°F 7%
78-79°F 2%
$1,525 交易量
$1,525 交易量
2026-09-02
華氏69度或以下
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
是
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88°F或更高
否
80-81°F 97%
華氏69度或以下 11%
76-77°F 7%
78-79°F 2%
$1,525 交易量
$1,525 交易量
2026-09-02
華氏69度或以下
$17 交易量
否
70-71°F
$215 交易量
否
72-73°F
$107 交易量
否
74-75°F
$589 交易量
否
76-77°F
$62 交易量
否
78-79°F
$112 交易量
否
80-81°F
$97 交易量
是
82-83°F
$84 交易量
否
84-85°F
$98 交易量
否
86-87°F
$62 交易量
否
88°F或更高
$82 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm air advection from the south, combined with high dew points near 77°F and minimal overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, kept Dallas overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s on September 2. Official observations from DFW International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 78–80°F amid a strong heat dome, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 74.5°F and consistent with recent years’ September 2 readings of 71–80°F. The market’s 96% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin reflects this verified observational consensus, with only modest model spread in post-event analyses. Unlikely shifts could arise from revised station data or measurement timing adjustments, though such revisions remain rare for established airport records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,525結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm air advection from the south, combined with high dew points near 77°F and minimal overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, kept Dallas overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s on September 2. Official observations from DFW International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 78–80°F amid a strong heat dome, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 74.5°F and consistent with recent years’ September 2 readings of 71–80°F. The market’s 96% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin reflects this verified observational consensus, with only modest model spread in post-event analyses. Unlikely shifts could arise from revised station data or measurement timing adjustments, though such revisions remain rare for established airport records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,525結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Persistent warm air advection from the south, combined with high dew points near 77°F and minimal overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, kept Dallas overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s on September 2. Official observations from DFW International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 78–80°F amid a strong heat dome, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 74.5°F and consistent with recent years’ September 2 readings of 71–80°F. The market’s 96% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin reflects this verified observational consensus, with only modest model spread in post-event analyses. Unlikely shifts could arise from revised station data or measurement timing adjustments, though such revisions remain rare for established airport records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions