**Persistent high humidity and cloud cover from subtropical monsoon conditions are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Guangzhou, keeping the minimum temperature elevated.** On August 28, 2026, forecasts from multiple sources show overnight lows clustered around 27–28°C (roughly 80–82°F), with dew points near 27–28°C and frequent thunderstorms or overcast skies preventing the typical drop toward the long-term average low of 25.2°C. Recent model runs and surface observations confirm warm advection and high moisture content, consistent with late-August climatology in the region where daily lows rarely fall below 24°C without a strong frontal passage. This setup positions 26°C as the leading market outcome at 56% implied probability, as traders incorporate the latest observational data showing sustained warmth rather than a sharper cooldown. Updated evening and overnight readings from local stations will refine resolution near the 26–27°C threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日廣州最低溫度？
8月28日廣州最低溫度？
26°C 100.0%
24°C 2%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$1,688 交易量
$1,688 交易量
2026-08-28
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
24°C 2%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$1,688 交易量
$1,688 交易量
2026-08-28
21°C or below
$301 交易量
No
22°C
$102 交易量
No
23°C
$122 交易量
No
24°C
$72 交易量
No
25°C
$121 交易量
No
26°C
$305 交易量
Yes
27°C
$73 交易量
No
28°C
$69 交易量
No
29°C
$85 交易量
No
30°C
$300 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$137 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high humidity and cloud cover from subtropical monsoon conditions are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Guangzhou, keeping the minimum temperature elevated.** On August 28, 2026, forecasts from multiple sources show overnight lows clustered around 27–28°C (roughly 80–82°F), with dew points near 27–28°C and frequent thunderstorms or overcast skies preventing the typical drop toward the long-term average low of 25.2°C. Recent model runs and surface observations confirm warm advection and high moisture content, consistent with late-August climatology in the region where daily lows rarely fall below 24°C without a strong frontal passage. This setup positions 26°C as the leading market outcome at 56% implied probability, as traders incorporate the latest observational data showing sustained warmth rather than a sharper cooldown. Updated evening and overnight readings from local stations will refine resolution near the 26–27°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,688結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high humidity and cloud cover from subtropical monsoon conditions are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Guangzhou, keeping the minimum temperature elevated.** On August 28, 2026, forecasts from multiple sources show overnight lows clustered around 27–28°C (roughly 80–82°F), with dew points near 27–28°C and frequent thunderstorms or overcast skies preventing the typical drop toward the long-term average low of 25.2°C. Recent model runs and surface observations confirm warm advection and high moisture content, consistent with late-August climatology in the region where daily lows rarely fall below 24°C without a strong frontal passage. This setup positions 26°C as the leading market outcome at 56% implied probability, as traders incorporate the latest observational data showing sustained warmth rather than a sharper cooldown. Updated evening and overnight readings from local stations will refine resolution near the 26–27°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,688結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Persistent high humidity and cloud cover from subtropical monsoon conditions are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Guangzhou, keeping the minimum temperature elevated.** On August 28, 2026, forecasts from multiple sources show overnight lows clustered around 27–28°C (roughly 80–82°F), with dew points near 27–28°C and frequent thunderstorms or overcast skies preventing the typical drop toward the long-term average low of 25.2°C. Recent model runs and surface observations confirm warm advection and high moisture content, consistent with late-August climatology in the region where daily lows rarely fall below 24°C without a strong frontal passage. This setup positions 26°C as the leading market outcome at 56% implied probability, as traders incorporate the latest observational data showing sustained warmth rather than a sharper cooldown. Updated evening and overnight readings from local stations will refine resolution near the 26–27°C threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions