Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Guangzhou's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid persistent warm, humid subtropical air and light southerly winds with limited radiational cooling. Scattered thunderstorms and high dew points around 24–26°C are suppressing sharper temperature drops, aligning with the market's strong 54% implied probability on 28°C. Historical September averages near 24°C reflect cooler baselines, yet current conditions lack the typical post-typhoon or frontal influences that could push readings toward 25°C or below. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model consensus and real-time observations heavily, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings before midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日廣州最低溫度？
9月20日廣州最低溫度？
28°C 99.5%
21°C或以下 93%
26°C 92%
24°C 10%
$452 交易量
$452 交易量
2026-09-20
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
28°C 99.5%
21°C或以下 93%
26°C 92%
24°C 10%
$452 交易量
$452 交易量
2026-09-20
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
否
22°C
$16 交易量
否
23°C
$0 交易量
否
24°C
$0 交易量
否
25°C
$15 交易量
否
26°C
$63 交易量
否
27°C
$73 交易量
否
28°C
$213 交易量
是
29°C
$31 交易量
否
30°C
$16 交易量
否
31°C或以上
$25 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Guangzhou's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid persistent warm, humid subtropical air and light southerly winds with limited radiational cooling. Scattered thunderstorms and high dew points around 24–26°C are suppressing sharper temperature drops, aligning with the market's strong 54% implied probability on 28°C. Historical September averages near 24°C reflect cooler baselines, yet current conditions lack the typical post-typhoon or frontal influences that could push readings toward 25°C or below. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model consensus and real-time observations heavily, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$452結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Guangzhou's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid persistent warm, humid subtropical air and light southerly winds with limited radiational cooling. Scattered thunderstorms and high dew points around 24–26°C are suppressing sharper temperature drops, aligning with the market's strong 54% implied probability on 28°C. Historical September averages near 24°C reflect cooler baselines, yet current conditions lack the typical post-typhoon or frontal influences that could push readings toward 25°C or below. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model consensus and real-time observations heavily, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$452結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Guangzhou's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid persistent warm, humid subtropical air and light southerly winds with limited radiational cooling. Scattered thunderstorms and high dew points around 24–26°C are suppressing sharper temperature drops, aligning with the market's strong 54% implied probability on 28°C. Historical September averages near 24°C reflect cooler baselines, yet current conditions lack the typical post-typhoon or frontal influences that could push readings toward 25°C or below. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model consensus and real-time observations heavily, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings before midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions