Forecast models from multiple agencies converge on an overnight low near 24°C for Guangzhou on September 4, 2026, under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and high humidity around 90 percent. This aligns with the historical September average minimum of roughly 24–25°C and recent observations showing stable temperatures without significant frontal systems or enhanced cloud cover. The 94 percent market-implied probability for 24°C reflects trader confidence in this consensus, as model runs have shown little deviation. A realistic shift toward 23°C could occur only with unexpected additional cooling from localized showers or increased low-level moisture, while clearer conditions might push the low slightly higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日廣州最低溫度？
9月4日廣州最低溫度？
24°C 99.5%
23°C 1.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
$1,938 交易量
$1,938 交易量
2026-09-04
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或以上
否
24°C 99.5%
23°C 1.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
$1,938 交易量
$1,938 交易量
2026-09-04
18°C或以下
$162 交易量
否
19°C
$157 交易量
否
20°C
$115 交易量
否
21°C
$157 交易量
否
22°C
$157 交易量
否
23°C
$222 交易量
否
24°C
$550 交易量
是
25°C
$307 交易量
否
26°C
$20 交易量
否
27°C
$45 交易量
否
28°C或以上
$45 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple agencies converge on an overnight low near 24°C for Guangzhou on September 4, 2026, under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and high humidity around 90 percent. This aligns with the historical September average minimum of roughly 24–25°C and recent observations showing stable temperatures without significant frontal systems or enhanced cloud cover. The 94 percent market-implied probability for 24°C reflects trader confidence in this consensus, as model runs have shown little deviation. A realistic shift toward 23°C could occur only with unexpected additional cooling from localized showers or increased low-level moisture, while clearer conditions might push the low slightly higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,938結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple agencies converge on an overnight low near 24°C for Guangzhou on September 4, 2026, under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and high humidity around 90 percent. This aligns with the historical September average minimum of roughly 24–25°C and recent observations showing stable temperatures without significant frontal systems or enhanced cloud cover. The 94 percent market-implied probability for 24°C reflects trader confidence in this consensus, as model runs have shown little deviation. A realistic shift toward 23°C could occur only with unexpected additional cooling from localized showers or increased low-level moisture, while clearer conditions might push the low slightly higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,938結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Forecast models from multiple agencies converge on an overnight low near 24°C for Guangzhou on September 4, 2026, under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and high humidity around 90 percent. This aligns with the historical September average minimum of roughly 24–25°C and recent observations showing stable temperatures without significant frontal systems or enhanced cloud cover. The 94 percent market-implied probability for 24°C reflects trader confidence in this consensus, as model runs have shown little deviation. A realistic shift toward 23°C could occur only with unexpected additional cooling from localized showers or increased low-level moisture, while clearer conditions might push the low slightly higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions