Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 19°C low in Jinan on September 1, 2026, reflecting observed overnight minimums under clear skies, light easterly winds near 3–5 m/s, and dew points around 15–17°C that limited radiative cooling. Regional model consensus from agencies tracking the North China Plain shows no frontal passages or moisture surges, aligning the daily minimum with long-term September climatology where overnight lows typically reach 18–21°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates real-time station data confirming the threshold was met without revision risk. Unlikely challengers include late-day cold advection or unforecast fog that could depress readings below 19°C, though current high-pressure dominance and stable steering patterns make such shifts improbable before midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日濟南最低氣溫？
9月1日濟南最低氣溫？
19°C 100.0%
14°C 20%
15°C 20%
16°C 20%
$725 交易量
$725 交易量
2026-09-01
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或以上
否
19°C 100.0%
14°C 20%
15°C 20%
16°C 20%
$725 交易量
$725 交易量
2026-09-01
12°C或以下
$160 交易量
否
13°C
$160 交易量
否
14°C
$5 交易量
否
15°C
$15 交易量
否
16°C
$0 交易量
否
17°C
$0 交易量
否
18°C
$0 交易量
否
19°C
$230 交易量
是
20°C
$45 交易量
否
21°C
$55 交易量
否
22°C或以上
$55 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 19°C low in Jinan on September 1, 2026, reflecting observed overnight minimums under clear skies, light easterly winds near 3–5 m/s, and dew points around 15–17°C that limited radiative cooling. Regional model consensus from agencies tracking the North China Plain shows no frontal passages or moisture surges, aligning the daily minimum with long-term September climatology where overnight lows typically reach 18–21°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates real-time station data confirming the threshold was met without revision risk. Unlikely challengers include late-day cold advection or unforecast fog that could depress readings below 19°C, though current high-pressure dominance and stable steering patterns make such shifts improbable before midnight local time.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$725結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 19°C low in Jinan on September 1, 2026, reflecting observed overnight minimums under clear skies, light easterly winds near 3–5 m/s, and dew points around 15–17°C that limited radiative cooling. Regional model consensus from agencies tracking the North China Plain shows no frontal passages or moisture surges, aligning the daily minimum with long-term September climatology where overnight lows typically reach 18–21°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates real-time station data confirming the threshold was met without revision risk. Unlikely challengers include late-day cold advection or unforecast fog that could depress readings below 19°C, though current high-pressure dominance and stable steering patterns make such shifts improbable before midnight local time.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$725結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 19°C low in Jinan on September 1, 2026, reflecting observed overnight minimums under clear skies, light easterly winds near 3–5 m/s, and dew points around 15–17°C that limited radiative cooling. Regional model consensus from agencies tracking the North China Plain shows no frontal passages or moisture surges, aligning the daily minimum with long-term September climatology where overnight lows typically reach 18–21°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates real-time station data confirming the threshold was met without revision risk. Unlikely challengers include late-day cold advection or unforecast fog that could depress readings below 19°C, though current high-pressure dominance and stable steering patterns make such shifts improbable before midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions