Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models project a high of 30–31°C in Jinan on September 3 under clear, sunny skies with light northeast winds, reflecting strong consensus across short-range ensembles. Early September climatology supports this, with typical highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius amid stable high-pressure patterns. Traders assign 98.7% implied probability to 26°C or higher given the brief forecast window and absence of disruptive weather signals. Minor revisions could arise from unmodeled cloud increases or boundary-layer moisture shifts, though crossing below the threshold would require substantial, currently unanticipated changes in steering flow or precipitation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日濟南氣溫最高?
26°C或以上 98.6%
25°C 1.0%
22°C <1%
16°C或以下 <1%
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C或以上
99%
26°C或以上 98.6%
25°C 1.0%
22°C <1%
16°C或以下 <1%
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C或以上
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models project a high of 30–31°C in Jinan on September 3 under clear, sunny skies with light northeast winds, reflecting strong consensus across short-range ensembles. Early September climatology supports this, with typical highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius amid stable high-pressure patterns. Traders assign 98.7% implied probability to 26°C or higher given the brief forecast window and absence of disruptive weather signals. Minor revisions could arise from unmodeled cloud increases or boundary-layer moisture shifts, though crossing below the threshold would require substantial, currently unanticipated changes in steering flow or precipitation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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