Current forecasts from multiple models project Karachi's daily minimum near 26–27°C on August 28, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28°C outcomes amid typical late-monsoon conditions. The Arabian Sea exerts strong maritime moderation through persistent westerly sea breezes that limit nocturnal cooling, while high humidity and variable cloud cover further suppress temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation. Recent observations show overnight lows holding near 26–27°C with partly cloudy skies and 14–17 mph winds; minor shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable coastal dynamics against historical August averages near 27°C, producing closely matched probabilities without clear dominance by any single resolution threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日卡拉奇的最低溫度?
31°C or higher 99%
29°C 90%
30°C 89%
24°C 87%
21°C or below
74%
22°C
86%
23°C
19%
24°C
87%
25°C
46%
26°C
45%
27°C
46%
28°C
46%
29°C
90%
30°C
89%
31°C or higher
99%
31°C or higher 99%
29°C 90%
30°C 89%
24°C 87%
21°C or below
74%
22°C
86%
23°C
19%
24°C
87%
25°C
46%
26°C
45%
27°C
46%
28°C
46%
29°C
90%
30°C
89%
31°C or higher
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple models project Karachi's daily minimum near 26–27°C on August 28, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28°C outcomes amid typical late-monsoon conditions. The Arabian Sea exerts strong maritime moderation through persistent westerly sea breezes that limit nocturnal cooling, while high humidity and variable cloud cover further suppress temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation. Recent observations show overnight lows holding near 26–27°C with partly cloudy skies and 14–17 mph winds; minor shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable coastal dynamics against historical August averages near 27°C, producing closely matched probabilities without clear dominance by any single resolution threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions