Official Met Office observations from London stations, including Heathrow, recorded a daily minimum of 17.3°C on August 29, 2026, under mild westerly flow and mostly cloudy conditions that prevented significant nocturnal cooling below typical late-summer norms. This measurement aligns precisely with the 18°C market outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting traders’ confidence in verified station data rather than model projections. Historical averages place the date’s mean low near 13°C, yet the observed value sits comfortably within the upper range seen in recent warm Augusts. The sole realistic challenge would involve a post hoc data revision or alternate station selection falling outside the 17–19°C band, though such adjustments remain rare once initial quality-controlled readings are released.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日倫敦的最低溫度？
8月29日倫敦的最低溫度？
18°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$12,477 交易量
$12,477 交易量
2026-08-29
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或以上
否
18°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$12,477 交易量
$12,477 交易量
2026-08-29
12°C或以下
$260 交易量
否
13°C
$293 交易量
否
14°C
$624 交易量
否
15°C
$775 交易量
否
16°C
$3,288 交易量
否
17°C
$3,886 交易量
否
18°C
$2,334 交易量
是
19°C
$590 交易量
否
20°C
$144 交易量
否
21°C
$139 交易量
否
22°C或以上
$144 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office observations from London stations, including Heathrow, recorded a daily minimum of 17.3°C on August 29, 2026, under mild westerly flow and mostly cloudy conditions that prevented significant nocturnal cooling below typical late-summer norms. This measurement aligns precisely with the 18°C market outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting traders’ confidence in verified station data rather than model projections. Historical averages place the date’s mean low near 13°C, yet the observed value sits comfortably within the upper range seen in recent warm Augusts. The sole realistic challenge would involve a post hoc data revision or alternate station selection falling outside the 17–19°C band, though such adjustments remain rare once initial quality-controlled readings are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$12,477結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office observations from London stations, including Heathrow, recorded a daily minimum of 17.3°C on August 29, 2026, under mild westerly flow and mostly cloudy conditions that prevented significant nocturnal cooling below typical late-summer norms. This measurement aligns precisely with the 18°C market outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting traders’ confidence in verified station data rather than model projections. Historical averages place the date’s mean low near 13°C, yet the observed value sits comfortably within the upper range seen in recent warm Augusts. The sole realistic challenge would involve a post hoc data revision or alternate station selection falling outside the 17–19°C band, though such adjustments remain rare once initial quality-controlled readings are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,477結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official Met Office observations from London stations, including Heathrow, recorded a daily minimum of 17.3°C on August 29, 2026, under mild westerly flow and mostly cloudy conditions that prevented significant nocturnal cooling below typical late-summer norms. This measurement aligns precisely with the 18°C market outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting traders’ confidence in verified station data rather than model projections. Historical averages place the date’s mean low near 13°C, yet the observed value sits comfortably within the upper range seen in recent warm Augusts. The sole realistic challenge would involve a post hoc data revision or alternate station selection falling outside the 17–19°C band, though such adjustments remain rare once initial quality-controlled readings are released.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions