**Trader consensus at 100% for a 14°C low in London on September 10 reflects direct observational data from stations such as London City Airport, where overnight readings bottomed at 14°C amid mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds.** These conditions, driven by mild Atlantic air under a weakening high-pressure system, prevented radiative cooling and aligned with Met Office guidance and GFS ensemble outputs showing nighttime minima near that threshold. Early-September climatology around 12–15°C further anchors expectations. A realistic challenge would require later-verified colder readings at the official resolution station or an unexpected clear-sky window allowing further cooling, though current model consensus and real-time measurements make significant downward revision unlikely before final data confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日倫敦的最低溫度？
9月10日倫敦的最低溫度？
14°C 100.0%
5°C或以下 <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$12,942 交易量
$12,942 交易量
2026-09-10
5°C或以下
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C或更高
否
14°C 100.0%
5°C或以下 <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$12,942 交易量
$12,942 交易量
2026-09-10
5°C或以下
$155 交易量
否
6°C
$75 交易量
否
7°C
$266 交易量
否
8°C
$344 交易量
否
9°C
$867 交易量
否
10°C
$1,114 交易量
否
11°C
$1,014 交易量
否
12°C
$3,568 交易量
否
13°C
$1,783 交易量
否
14°C
$1,621 交易量
是
15°C或更高
$2,136 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 14°C low in London on September 10 reflects direct observational data from stations such as London City Airport, where overnight readings bottomed at 14°C amid mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds.** These conditions, driven by mild Atlantic air under a weakening high-pressure system, prevented radiative cooling and aligned with Met Office guidance and GFS ensemble outputs showing nighttime minima near that threshold. Early-September climatology around 12–15°C further anchors expectations. A realistic challenge would require later-verified colder readings at the official resolution station or an unexpected clear-sky window allowing further cooling, though current model consensus and real-time measurements make significant downward revision unlikely before final data confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$12,942結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 14°C low in London on September 10 reflects direct observational data from stations such as London City Airport, where overnight readings bottomed at 14°C amid mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds.** These conditions, driven by mild Atlantic air under a weakening high-pressure system, prevented radiative cooling and aligned with Met Office guidance and GFS ensemble outputs showing nighttime minima near that threshold. Early-September climatology around 12–15°C further anchors expectations. A realistic challenge would require later-verified colder readings at the official resolution station or an unexpected clear-sky window allowing further cooling, though current model consensus and real-time measurements make significant downward revision unlikely before final data confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,942結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus at 100% for a 14°C low in London on September 10 reflects direct observational data from stations such as London City Airport, where overnight readings bottomed at 14°C amid mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds.** These conditions, driven by mild Atlantic air under a weakening high-pressure system, prevented radiative cooling and aligned with Met Office guidance and GFS ensemble outputs showing nighttime minima near that threshold. Early-September climatology around 12–15°C further anchors expectations. A realistic challenge would require later-verified colder readings at the official resolution station or an unexpected clear-sky window allowing further cooling, though current model consensus and real-time measurements make significant downward revision unlikely before final data confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions