Close clustering of trader probabilities around 24–27°C for Lucknow’s September 21 minimum reflects forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under late-monsoon conditions. High humidity (often 70–90% overnight per IMD data) and light variable winds limit temperature drops, while scattered cloud cover from possible isolated thunderstorms can trap heat or allow brief clear spells. Recent regional minimums have hovered near 24–27°C with little departure from normals, and models show only modest day-to-day variation. This genuine spread in outcomes—driven by small differences in dew points, wind patterns, and cloud timing—keeps implied odds tightly bunched until final observational data resolve the night’s exact low.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日勒克瑙的最低溫度？
9月21日勒克瑙的最低溫度？
24°C 100%
26°C 100%
22°C或以下 98%
25°C 98%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
22°C或以下
98%
23°C
90%
24°C
100%
25°C
98%
26°C
100%
27°C
50%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
24°C 100%
26°C 100%
22°C或以下 98%
25°C 98%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
22°C或以下
$0 交易量
98%
23°C
$0 交易量
90%
24°C
$0 交易量
100%
25°C
$5 交易量
98%
26°C
$0 交易量
100%
27°C
$0 交易量
50%
28°C
$42 交易量
<1%
29°C
$42 交易量
<1%
30°C
$37 交易量
<1%
31°C
$37 交易量
<1%
32°C或更高
$37 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close clustering of trader probabilities around 24–27°C for Lucknow’s September 21 minimum reflects forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under late-monsoon conditions. High humidity (often 70–90% overnight per IMD data) and light variable winds limit temperature drops, while scattered cloud cover from possible isolated thunderstorms can trap heat or allow brief clear spells. Recent regional minimums have hovered near 24–27°C with little departure from normals, and models show only modest day-to-day variation. This genuine spread in outcomes—driven by small differences in dew points, wind patterns, and cloud timing—keeps implied odds tightly bunched until final observational data resolve the night’s exact low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$200結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close clustering of trader probabilities around 24–27°C for Lucknow’s September 21 minimum reflects forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under late-monsoon conditions. High humidity (often 70–90% overnight per IMD data) and light variable winds limit temperature drops, while scattered cloud cover from possible isolated thunderstorms can trap heat or allow brief clear spells. Recent regional minimums have hovered near 24–27°C with little departure from normals, and models show only modest day-to-day variation. This genuine spread in outcomes—driven by small differences in dew points, wind patterns, and cloud timing—keeps implied odds tightly bunched until final observational data resolve the night’s exact low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$200結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETClose clustering of trader probabilities around 24–27°C for Lucknow’s September 21 minimum reflects forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under late-monsoon conditions. High humidity (often 70–90% overnight per IMD data) and light variable winds limit temperature drops, while scattered cloud cover from possible isolated thunderstorms can trap heat or allow brief clear spells. Recent regional minimums have hovered near 24–27°C with little departure from normals, and models show only modest day-to-day variation. This genuine spread in outcomes—driven by small differences in dew points, wind patterns, and cloud timing—keeps implied odds tightly bunched until final observational data resolve the night’s exact low.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions