Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Manila's overnight low on September 12 will settle near 25–26°C, aligning with the market's strong 90% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high humidity near 85–90%, light variable winds under 5 knots, and extensive cloud cover from the ongoing monsoon pattern limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to the seasonal tropical baseline of 25–26°C. Recent model runs show no significant cool-air intrusions or clear-sky episodes that would drive readings to 24°C or below, while the absence of extreme daytime heating caps the chance of an anomalously mild night above 27°C. Traders appear to be weighting official guidance from agencies tracking these stable conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
9月12日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
26°C 99.5%
21°C或以下 99%
25°C 94%
22°C 7.8%
$540 交易量
$540 交易量
2026-09-12
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
26°C 99.5%
21°C或以下 99%
25°C 94%
22°C 7.8%
$540 交易量
$540 交易量
2026-09-12
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
否
22°C
$0 交易量
否
23°C
$47 交易量
否
24°C
$82 交易量
否
25°C
$26 交易量
否
26°C
$212 交易量
是
27°C
$173 交易量
否
28°C
$0 交易量
否
29°C
$0 交易量
否
30°C
$0 交易量
否
31°C或以上
$0 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Manila's overnight low on September 12 will settle near 25–26°C, aligning with the market's strong 90% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high humidity near 85–90%, light variable winds under 5 knots, and extensive cloud cover from the ongoing monsoon pattern limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to the seasonal tropical baseline of 25–26°C. Recent model runs show no significant cool-air intrusions or clear-sky episodes that would drive readings to 24°C or below, while the absence of extreme daytime heating caps the chance of an anomalously mild night above 27°C. Traders appear to be weighting official guidance from agencies tracking these stable conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$540結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Manila's overnight low on September 12 will settle near 25–26°C, aligning with the market's strong 90% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high humidity near 85–90%, light variable winds under 5 knots, and extensive cloud cover from the ongoing monsoon pattern limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to the seasonal tropical baseline of 25–26°C. Recent model runs show no significant cool-air intrusions or clear-sky episodes that would drive readings to 24°C or below, while the absence of extreme daytime heating caps the chance of an anomalously mild night above 27°C. Traders appear to be weighting official guidance from agencies tracking these stable conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$540結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Manila's overnight low on September 12 will settle near 25–26°C, aligning with the market's strong 90% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high humidity near 85–90%, light variable winds under 5 knots, and extensive cloud cover from the ongoing monsoon pattern limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to the seasonal tropical baseline of 25–26°C. Recent model runs show no significant cool-air intrusions or clear-sky episodes that would drive readings to 24°C or below, while the absence of extreme daytime heating caps the chance of an anomalously mild night above 27°C. Traders appear to be weighting official guidance from agencies tracking these stable conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions