Official minimum temperature readings from Munich-area stations, including Munich International Airport, established a daily low of 16°C on August 28, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. These measurements align with surface observations under mostly cloudy, humid conditions with light variable winds and scattered showers, consistent with regional model consensus and historical climatology for late-August nights averaging near 13°C. Traders' strong alignment reflects the reliability of post-event data from agencies like Germany's DWD, where resolution criteria depend on verified station minima rather than forecasts. While improbable now that the date has passed, shifts could occur only through rare revisions in official records or disputes over station siting, though such adjustments are uncommon after initial quality-controlled releases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日慕尼黑最低溫度?
16°C 100.0%
14°C 1.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
$4,545 交易量
$4,545 交易量
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或更高
否
16°C 100.0%
14°C 1.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
$4,545 交易量
$4,545 交易量
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official minimum temperature readings from Munich-area stations, including Munich International Airport, established a daily low of 16°C on August 28, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. These measurements align with surface observations under mostly cloudy, humid conditions with light variable winds and scattered showers, consistent with regional model consensus and historical climatology for late-August nights averaging near 13°C. Traders' strong alignment reflects the reliability of post-event data from agencies like Germany's DWD, where resolution criteria depend on verified station minima rather than forecasts. While improbable now that the date has passed, shifts could occur only through rare revisions in official records or disputes over station siting, though such adjustments are uncommon after initial quality-controlled releases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions