Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from sources such as the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate clear to partly cloudy conditions overnight in Munich, promoting radiative cooling that supports a daily minimum near 9°C. This aligns with the market's strong 98.5% implied probability for 9°C, consistent with the climatological average low of 9.5°C for September 20 and current high-pressure dominance limiting warmer advection. Key variables include dew points around 10–12°C and light winds under 10 km/h. A shift to increased cloud cover or stronger westerly flow could raise the minimum toward 11–12°C, while unexpected cold-air pooling might push it to 7–8°C. Updated short-range model runs tonight will provide the final confirmation ahead of official resolution data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日慕尼黑最低溫度？
9月20日慕尼黑最低溫度？
9°C 99.5%
6°C或以下 1.0%
7°C 1.0%
8°C 1.0%
$858 交易量
$858 交易量
2026-09-20
6°C或以下
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
是
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C或更高
否
9°C 99.5%
6°C或以下 1.0%
7°C 1.0%
8°C 1.0%
$858 交易量
$858 交易量
2026-09-20
6°C或以下
$0 交易量
否
7°C
$0 交易量
否
8°C
$120 交易量
否
9°C
$296 交易量
是
10°C
$115 交易量
否
11°C
$172 交易量
否
12°C
$37 交易量
否
13°C
$25 交易量
否
14°C
$37 交易量
否
15°C
$25 交易量
否
16°C或更高
$31 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from sources such as the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate clear to partly cloudy conditions overnight in Munich, promoting radiative cooling that supports a daily minimum near 9°C. This aligns with the market's strong 98.5% implied probability for 9°C, consistent with the climatological average low of 9.5°C for September 20 and current high-pressure dominance limiting warmer advection. Key variables include dew points around 10–12°C and light winds under 10 km/h. A shift to increased cloud cover or stronger westerly flow could raise the minimum toward 11–12°C, while unexpected cold-air pooling might push it to 7–8°C. Updated short-range model runs tonight will provide the final confirmation ahead of official resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$858結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from sources such as the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate clear to partly cloudy conditions overnight in Munich, promoting radiative cooling that supports a daily minimum near 9°C. This aligns with the market's strong 98.5% implied probability for 9°C, consistent with the climatological average low of 9.5°C for September 20 and current high-pressure dominance limiting warmer advection. Key variables include dew points around 10–12°C and light winds under 10 km/h. A shift to increased cloud cover or stronger westerly flow could raise the minimum toward 11–12°C, while unexpected cold-air pooling might push it to 7–8°C. Updated short-range model runs tonight will provide the final confirmation ahead of official resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$858結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from sources such as the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate clear to partly cloudy conditions overnight in Munich, promoting radiative cooling that supports a daily minimum near 9°C. This aligns with the market's strong 98.5% implied probability for 9°C, consistent with the climatological average low of 9.5°C for September 20 and current high-pressure dominance limiting warmer advection. Key variables include dew points around 10–12°C and light winds under 10 km/h. A shift to increased cloud cover or stronger westerly flow could raise the minimum toward 11–12°C, while unexpected cold-air pooling might push it to 7–8°C. Updated short-range model runs tonight will provide the final confirmation ahead of official resolution data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions