Current forecast models from major centers including ECMWF and GFS indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on August 31 will likely settle near 16–17°C under a stable post-frontal regime with light winds and clear skies overnight. This positions the market's leading outcomes at those levels, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows range 14–18°C as seasonal cooling begins. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no strong warm-air advection or cloud cover expected to elevate readings above 18°C or allow radiative cooling below 15°C. Traders are weighting the next 48-hour updates heavily, as any shift in the upper-level ridge or Atlantic moisture could alter the overnight minimum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日巴黎最低溫度？
8月31日巴黎最低溫度？
17°C 51%
16°C 40%
18°C 16%
13°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
12°C或以下
7%
13°C
13%
14°C
13%
15°C
13%
16°C
40%
17°C
51%
18°C
16%
19°C
11%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C或以上
7%
17°C 51%
16°C 40%
18°C 16%
13°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
12°C或以下
$0 交易量
7%
13°C
$0 交易量
13%
14°C
$0 交易量
13%
15°C
$0 交易量
13%
16°C
$18 交易量
40%
17°C
$16 交易量
51%
18°C
$0 交易量
16%
19°C
$0 交易量
11%
20°C
$0 交易量
2%
21°C
$0 交易量
8%
22°C或以上
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from major centers including ECMWF and GFS indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on August 31 will likely settle near 16–17°C under a stable post-frontal regime with light winds and clear skies overnight. This positions the market's leading outcomes at those levels, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows range 14–18°C as seasonal cooling begins. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no strong warm-air advection or cloud cover expected to elevate readings above 18°C or allow radiative cooling below 15°C. Traders are weighting the next 48-hour updates heavily, as any shift in the upper-level ridge or Atlantic moisture could alter the overnight minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$34結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from major centers including ECMWF and GFS indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on August 31 will likely settle near 16–17°C under a stable post-frontal regime with light winds and clear skies overnight. This positions the market's leading outcomes at those levels, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows range 14–18°C as seasonal cooling begins. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no strong warm-air advection or cloud cover expected to elevate readings above 18°C or allow radiative cooling below 15°C. Traders are weighting the next 48-hour updates heavily, as any shift in the upper-level ridge or Atlantic moisture could alter the overnight minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$34結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecast models from major centers including ECMWF and GFS indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on August 31 will likely settle near 16–17°C under a stable post-frontal regime with light winds and clear skies overnight. This positions the market's leading outcomes at those levels, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows range 14–18°C as seasonal cooling begins. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no strong warm-air advection or cloud cover expected to elevate readings above 18°C or allow radiative cooling below 15°C. Traders are weighting the next 48-hour updates heavily, as any shift in the upper-level ridge or Atlantic moisture could alter the overnight minimum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions