Persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and easterly flow have kept overnight radiative cooling minimal in Taipei, with official forecasts from sources such as the Central Weather Administration and global models converging on a daily minimum of 26°C for September 2. Dew points near 25–26°C and widespread precipitation have sustained these levels through the night, aligning with the market’s near-100% implied probability for 26°C. Historical early-September climatology shows typical lows of 23–25°C, but current conditions have held temperatures above that baseline. Only a rapid clearing of skies or an unforecasted shift in steering flow could allow further cooling below 25°C before the daily minimum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日臺北最低氣溫?
26°C 100.0%
22°C 5.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$1,243 交易量
$1,243 交易量
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C 5.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$1,243 交易量
$1,243 交易量
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and easterly flow have kept overnight radiative cooling minimal in Taipei, with official forecasts from sources such as the Central Weather Administration and global models converging on a daily minimum of 26°C for September 2. Dew points near 25–26°C and widespread precipitation have sustained these levels through the night, aligning with the market’s near-100% implied probability for 26°C. Historical early-September climatology shows typical lows of 23–25°C, but current conditions have held temperatures above that baseline. Only a rapid clearing of skies or an unforecasted shift in steering flow could allow further cooling below 25°C before the daily minimum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions