Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles show Tokyo’s minimum temperature on May 18 most likely settling between 18 °C and 19 °C, driving the market’s heavy concentration on those two outcomes. A broad high-pressure ridge over the western Pacific is limiting cold-air advection while allowing modest radiational cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies. Historical May climatology places average overnight lows near 16–17 °C, so the current warmer pattern reflects above-normal 850-hPa temperatures. Traders are watching the next model runs and any late adjustments to cloud cover or wind that could shift the final reading by 1 °C either way.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月18日東京最低溫度？
5月18日東京最低溫度？
19°C 46%
18°C 28%
17°C 11%
20°C 5.9%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
12%
18°C
28%
19°C
46%
20°C
6%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C或以上
<1%
19°C 46%
18°C 28%
17°C 11%
20°C 5.9%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
13°C或以下
$275 交易量
<1%
14°C
$304 交易量
<1%
15°C
$408 交易量
1%
16°C
$79 交易量
1%
17°C
$179 交易量
12%
18°C
$337 交易量
28%
19°C
$218 交易量
46%
20°C
$115 交易量
6%
21°C
$209 交易量
4%
22°C
$453 交易量
1%
23°C或以上
$1,910 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles show Tokyo’s minimum temperature on May 18 most likely settling between 18 °C and 19 °C, driving the market’s heavy concentration on those two outcomes. A broad high-pressure ridge over the western Pacific is limiting cold-air advection while allowing modest radiational cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies. Historical May climatology places average overnight lows near 16–17 °C, so the current warmer pattern reflects above-normal 850-hPa temperatures. Traders are watching the next model runs and any late adjustments to cloud cover or wind that could shift the final reading by 1 °C either way.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$4,488結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles show Tokyo’s minimum temperature on May 18 most likely settling between 18 °C and 19 °C, driving the market’s heavy concentration on those two outcomes. A broad high-pressure ridge over the western Pacific is limiting cold-air advection while allowing modest radiational cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies. Historical May climatology places average overnight lows near 16–17 °C, so the current warmer pattern reflects above-normal 850-hPa temperatures. Traders are watching the next model runs and any late adjustments to cloud cover or wind that could shift the final reading by 1 °C either way.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,488結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles show Tokyo’s minimum temperature on May 18 most likely settling between 18 °C and 19 °C, driving the market’s heavy concentration on those two outcomes. A broad high-pressure ridge over the western Pacific is limiting cold-air advection while allowing modest radiational cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies. Historical May climatology places average overnight lows near 16–17 °C, so the current warmer pattern reflects above-normal 850-hPa temperatures. Traders are watching the next model runs and any late adjustments to cloud cover or wind that could shift the final reading by 1 °C either way.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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