Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman and Pakistan following the February 2026 ceasefire, have advanced framework proposals including a multi-year uranium enrichment moratorium, stockpile reductions, and IAEA verification in exchange for targeted sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access. President Trump has publicly emphasized achieving terms stronger than the 2015 JCPOA, while Iranian officials counter with shorter restrictions and continued enrichment rights on their soil. Recent indirect talks in Islamabad and Geneva produced incremental progress on core issues, though disputes over ballistic missiles and past undeclared activities remain unresolved. This diplomatic momentum, tempered by mutual distrust and escalation risks, underpins trader consensus pricing a deal before 2027 at 60.5 percent for Yes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$1,332,685 交易量
$1,332,685 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$1,332,685 交易量
$1,332,685 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman and Pakistan following the February 2026 ceasefire, have advanced framework proposals including a multi-year uranium enrichment moratorium, stockpile reductions, and IAEA verification in exchange for targeted sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access. President Trump has publicly emphasized achieving terms stronger than the 2015 JCPOA, while Iranian officials counter with shorter restrictions and continued enrichment rights on their soil. Recent indirect talks in Islamabad and Geneva produced incremental progress on core issues, though disputes over ballistic missiles and past undeclared activities remain unresolved. This diplomatic momentum, tempered by mutual distrust and escalation risks, underpins trader consensus pricing a deal before 2027 at 60.5 percent for Yes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
交易量
$1,332,685結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman and Pakistan following the February 2026 ceasefire, have advanced framework proposals including a multi-year uranium enrichment moratorium, stockpile reductions, and IAEA verification in exchange for targeted sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access. President Trump has publicly emphasized achieving terms stronger than the 2015 JCPOA, while Iranian officials counter with shorter restrictions and continued enrichment rights on their soil. Recent indirect talks in Islamabad and Geneva produced incremental progress on core issues, though disputes over ballistic missiles and past undeclared activities remain unresolved. This diplomatic momentum, tempered by mutual distrust and escalation risks, underpins trader consensus pricing a deal before 2027 at 60.5 percent for Yes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$1,332,685結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman and Pakistan following the February 2026 ceasefire, have advanced framework proposals including a multi-year uranium enrichment moratorium, stockpile reductions, and IAEA verification in exchange for targeted sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access. President Trump has publicly emphasized achieving terms stronger than the 2015 JCPOA, while Iranian officials counter with shorter restrictions and continued enrichment rights on their soil. Recent indirect talks in Islamabad and Geneva produced incremental progress on core issues, though disputes over ballistic missiles and past undeclared activities remain unresolved. This diplomatic momentum, tempered by mutual distrust and escalation risks, underpins trader consensus pricing a deal before 2027 at 60.5 percent for Yes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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