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icon for 哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列?

哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列?

icon for 哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列?

哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列?

$526,748 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$526,748 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 北韓

北韓

$38,410 交易量

<1%

icon for 古巴

古巴

$52,811 交易量

<1%

icon for 沙烏地阿拉伯

沙烏地阿拉伯

$56,493 交易量

<1%

icon for 黎巴嫩

黎巴嫩

$136,451 交易量

48%

icon for 阿富汗

阿富汗

$21,091 交易量

<1%

icon for 伊拉克

伊拉克

$37,359 交易量

<1%

icon for 巴基斯坦

巴基斯坦

$9,969 交易量

<1%

icon for 敘利亞

敘利亞

$14,689 交易量

<1%

icon for 委內瑞拉

委內瑞拉

$88,635 交易量

<1%

icon for 突尼斯

突尼斯

$4,867 交易量

<1%

icon for 科威特

科威特

$2,550 交易量

<1%

icon for 卡達

卡達

$7,340 交易量

1%

icon for 印尼

印尼

$22,590 交易量

<1%

icon for 馬來西亞

馬來西亞

$28,194 交易量

<1%

icon for 孟加拉國

孟加拉國

$6,532 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic normalization between Israel and additional states has remained limited since the Abraham Accords, with no new formal recognitions reported in 2026. The 29 UN members that have never recognized Israel include several Arab League and OIC states whose positions tie any change to Palestinian statehood or other conditions, as restated by Saudi officials. Recent multilateral statements from countries including France, Brazil, and others have instead advanced recognition of Palestine or two-state initiatives, while Israel has pursued ties with entities such as Somaliland. With the June 30 resolution deadline approaching, scheduled diplomatic engagements and any shifts in regional security dynamics could influence final announcements, though trader focus centers on whether holdout governments will complete the required bilateral steps in the narrow remaining window.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$526,748
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic normalization between Israel and additional states has remained limited since the Abraham Accords, with no new formal recognitions reported in 2026. The 29 UN members that have never recognized Israel include several Arab League and OIC states whose positions tie any change to Palestinian statehood or other conditions, as restated by Saudi officials. Recent multilateral statements from countries including France, Brazil, and others have instead advanced recognition of Palestine or two-state initiatives, while Israel has pursued ties with entities such as Somaliland. With the June 30 resolution deadline approaching, scheduled diplomatic engagements and any shifts in regional security dynamics could influence final announcements, though trader focus centers on whether holdout governments will complete the required bilateral steps in the narrow remaining window.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$526,748
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "黎巴嫩" at 48%, followed by "卡達" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列?" has generated $526.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列?" is "黎巴嫩" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "卡達" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.