Current atmospheric conditions across the Atlantic basin, including dry air and suppressed convection as noted in the latest National Hurricane Center Tropical Weather Outlook, strongly favor no hurricane development through the end of May. With the official season starting June 1 and the average first named storm occurring around June 20, mid-May formation remains climatologically rare, and no organized disturbances currently show intensification potential under prevailing steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures. Trader consensus at 98.3% reflects this limited 15-day window and model agreement on stable, unfavorable conditions. While an outlier rapid development from an undetected wave cannot be ruled out entirely, such events would require atypical rapid environmental shifts not supported by current forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$49,291 交易量
$49,291 交易量
2026-05-31
是
$49,291 交易量
$49,291 交易量
2026-05-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.Current atmospheric conditions across the Atlantic basin, including dry air and suppressed convection as noted in the latest National Hurricane Center Tropical Weather Outlook, strongly favor no hurricane development through the end of May. With the official season starting June 1 and the average first named storm occurring around June 20, mid-May formation remains climatologically rare, and no organized disturbances currently show intensification potential under prevailing steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures. Trader consensus at 98.3% reflects this limited 15-day window and model agreement on stable, unfavorable conditions. While an outlier rapid development from an undetected wave cannot be ruled out entirely, such events would require atypical rapid environmental shifts not supported by current forecasts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
市場開放時間： Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ET
交易量
$49,291結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.Current atmospheric conditions across the Atlantic basin, including dry air and suppressed convection as noted in the latest National Hurricane Center Tropical Weather Outlook, strongly favor no hurricane development through the end of May. With the official season starting June 1 and the average first named storm occurring around June 20, mid-May formation remains climatologically rare, and no organized disturbances currently show intensification potential under prevailing steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures. Trader consensus at 98.3% reflects this limited 15-day window and model agreement on stable, unfavorable conditions. While an outlier rapid development from an undetected wave cannot be ruled out entirely, such events would require atypical rapid environmental shifts not supported by current forecasts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
交易量
$49,291結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Current atmospheric conditions across the Atlantic basin, including dry air and suppressed convection as noted in the latest National Hurricane Center Tropical Weather Outlook, strongly favor no hurricane development through the end of May. With the official season starting June 1 and the average first named storm occurring around June 20, mid-May formation remains climatologically rare, and no organized disturbances currently show intensification potential under prevailing steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures. Trader consensus at 98.3% reflects this limited 15-day window and model agreement on stable, unfavorable conditions. While an outlier rapid development from an undetected wave cannot be ruled out entirely, such events would require atypical rapid environmental shifts not supported by current forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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