The Bank of Mexico’s May 7 decision to cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 6.50 percent and explicitly close its two-year easing cycle has anchored trader expectations for no change at the June 25 meeting, where market-implied odds stand at 95 percent. Recent April inflation data showed headline CPI easing to 4.45 percent and core to 4.26 percent, while first-quarter GDP contracted amid softer industrial and services activity, supporting the board’s view that current monetary restriction remains appropriate. Forward guidance emphasized holding the policy rate steady amid elevated geopolitical and trade uncertainty, aligning with the 95 percent consensus backed by real capital in prediction markets. A sharper-than-expected rebound in inflation or a deeper economic slowdown could still prompt a shift, though such outcomes appear limited in the near term.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于No change 92.8%
Decrease 5.8%
Increase 3.4%
$10,987 交易量
$10,987 交易量
2026-06-25
Decrease
6%
No change
93%
Increase
3%
No change 92.8%
Decrease 5.8%
Increase 3.4%
$10,987 交易量
$10,987 交易量
2026-06-25
Decrease
$649 交易量
6%
No change
$9,185 交易量
93%
Increase
$1,153 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Mexico’s May 7 decision to cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 6.50 percent and explicitly close its two-year easing cycle has anchored trader expectations for no change at the June 25 meeting, where market-implied odds stand at 95 percent. Recent April inflation data showed headline CPI easing to 4.45 percent and core to 4.26 percent, while first-quarter GDP contracted amid softer industrial and services activity, supporting the board’s view that current monetary restriction remains appropriate. Forward guidance emphasized holding the policy rate steady amid elevated geopolitical and trade uncertainty, aligning with the 95 percent consensus backed by real capital in prediction markets. A sharper-than-expected rebound in inflation or a deeper economic slowdown could still prompt a shift, though such outcomes appear limited in the near term.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
交易量
$10,987结束日期
2026-06-25市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Mexico’s May 7 decision to cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 6.50 percent and explicitly close its two-year easing cycle has anchored trader expectations for no change at the June 25 meeting, where market-implied odds stand at 95 percent. Recent April inflation data showed headline CPI easing to 4.45 percent and core to 4.26 percent, while first-quarter GDP contracted amid softer industrial and services activity, supporting the board’s view that current monetary restriction remains appropriate. Forward guidance emphasized holding the policy rate steady amid elevated geopolitical and trade uncertainty, aligning with the 95 percent consensus backed by real capital in prediction markets. A sharper-than-expected rebound in inflation or a deeper economic slowdown could still prompt a shift, though such outcomes appear limited in the near term.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$10,987结束日期
2026-06-25市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Mexico’s May 7 decision to cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 6.50 percent and explicitly close its two-year easing cycle has anchored trader expectations for no change at the June 25 meeting, where market-implied odds stand at 95 percent. Recent April inflation data showed headline CPI easing to 4.45 percent and core to 4.26 percent, while first-quarter GDP contracted amid softer industrial and services activity, supporting the board’s view that current monetary restriction remains appropriate. Forward guidance emphasized holding the policy rate steady amid elevated geopolitical and trade uncertainty, aligning with the 95 percent consensus backed by real capital in prediction markets. A sharper-than-expected rebound in inflation or a deeper economic slowdown could still prompt a shift, though such outcomes appear limited in the near term.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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