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经济·经济政策

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?

icon for Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?
经济·经济政策

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?

5月 27

7月 7

5月 27

7月 7

Increase 64%

No Change 30%

Decrease 1.9%

Polymarket
最新

Increase 64%

No Change 30%

Decrease 1.9%

Polymarket
最新

Increase

$2,367 交易量

64%

No Change

$381 交易量

30%

Decrease

$501 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s July monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its July 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their July 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent near-term inflation pressures stemming from elevated oil and fuel prices tied to Middle East developments have pushed New Zealand’s March-quarter CPI to 3.1 percent and lifted RBNZ projections for a temporary spike toward 4.2 percent, underpinning the 64.0 percent market-implied probability of an Official Cash Rate increase at the July 8 meeting. With the OCR still at 2.25 percent—well below the estimated 3 percent neutral rate—traders see the current policy stance as stimulatory and anticipate gradual normalization as two-year inflation expectations rise to 2.53 percent in the latest survey. Weak domestic demand and labor-market slack continue to support the 29.5 percent no-change case, while the May 27 Monetary Policy Statement remains the key near-term catalyst that could refine expectations for subsequent meetings.

This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s July monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its July 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their July 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$3,249
结束日期
2026-07-07
市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 7:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s July monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its July 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their July 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s July monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its July 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their July 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent near-term inflation pressures stemming from elevated oil and fuel prices tied to Middle East developments have pushed New Zealand’s March-quarter CPI to 3.1 percent and lifted RBNZ projections for a temporary spike toward 4.2 percent, underpinning the 64.0 percent market-implied probability of an Official Cash Rate increase at the July 8 meeting. With the OCR still at 2.25 percent—well below the estimated 3 percent neutral rate—traders see the current policy stance as stimulatory and anticipate gradual normalization as two-year inflation expectations rise to 2.53 percent in the latest survey. Weak domestic demand and labor-market slack continue to support the 29.5 percent no-change case, while the May 27 Monetary Policy Statement remains the key near-term catalyst that could refine expectations for subsequent meetings.

This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s July monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its July 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their July 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$3,249
结束日期
2026-07-07
市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 7:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s July monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its July 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their July 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Increase"，概率为 64%，其次是"No Change"，概率为 30%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 64¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 64%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Apr 8, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?"的当前领先者是"Increase"，概率为 64%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 64%。紧随其后的结果是"No Change"，概率为 30%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。