Banxico’s May 7 decision to lower the reference rate 25 basis points to 6.50% while explicitly concluding its two-year easing cycle underpins the 94.2% market-implied probability of no change at the June 25 meeting. The split 3-2 vote and forward guidance emphasized that the current monetary policy stance is appropriate given Q1 economic contraction, headline inflation near 4.45%, and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Analysts across major institutions now project the terminal rate holding at 6.50% through year-end, aligning with the market’s strong consensus. Only sustained core-inflation deceleration below current forecasts or a sharper growth rebound would realistically reopen the door to another cut, scenarios traders currently assign low odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于No change 94.3%
Decrease 5.8%
Increase 3.8%
$10,997 交易量
$10,997 交易量
2026-06-25
Decrease
6%
No change
94%
Increase
4%
No change 94.3%
Decrease 5.8%
Increase 3.8%
$10,997 交易量
$10,997 交易量
2026-06-25
Decrease
$649 交易量
6%
No change
$9,195 交易量
94%
Increase
$1,153 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Banxico’s May 7 decision to lower the reference rate 25 basis points to 6.50% while explicitly concluding its two-year easing cycle underpins the 94.2% market-implied probability of no change at the June 25 meeting. The split 3-2 vote and forward guidance emphasized that the current monetary policy stance is appropriate given Q1 economic contraction, headline inflation near 4.45%, and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Analysts across major institutions now project the terminal rate holding at 6.50% through year-end, aligning with the market’s strong consensus. Only sustained core-inflation deceleration below current forecasts or a sharper growth rebound would realistically reopen the door to another cut, scenarios traders currently assign low odds.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
交易量
$10,997结束日期
2026-06-25市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Banxico’s May 7 decision to lower the reference rate 25 basis points to 6.50% while explicitly concluding its two-year easing cycle underpins the 94.2% market-implied probability of no change at the June 25 meeting. The split 3-2 vote and forward guidance emphasized that the current monetary policy stance is appropriate given Q1 economic contraction, headline inflation near 4.45%, and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Analysts across major institutions now project the terminal rate holding at 6.50% through year-end, aligning with the market’s strong consensus. Only sustained core-inflation deceleration below current forecasts or a sharper growth rebound would realistically reopen the door to another cut, scenarios traders currently assign low odds.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$10,997结束日期
2026-06-25市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Banxico’s May 7 decision to lower the reference rate 25 basis points to 6.50% while explicitly concluding its two-year easing cycle underpins the 94.2% market-implied probability of no change at the June 25 meeting. The split 3-2 vote and forward guidance emphasized that the current monetary policy stance is appropriate given Q1 economic contraction, headline inflation near 4.45%, and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Analysts across major institutions now project the terminal rate holding at 6.50% through year-end, aligning with the market’s strong consensus. Only sustained core-inflation deceleration below current forecasts or a sharper growth rebound would realistically reopen the door to another cut, scenarios traders currently assign low odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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