Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current vice-governor assuming the state executive in 2026, holds a narrow lead in trader pricing at 52% for the October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff, driven by incumbency advantages, cross-party alliances, and recent surveys showing him ahead or tied with Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos). Pazolini, mayor of Vitória, trails at 41.5% amid strong name recognition but faces a fragmented field that includes lower-polling names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Euclério Sampaio, and Sergio Vidigal. Polling from May and June 2026 reflects tight first-round intentions near 35% each for the top two, with undecided voters and alliance shifts remaining key variables. The close market odds mirror this competitive dynamic, where turnout among regional blocs or late consolidation could still alter outcomes before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于洛伦索·帕佐利尼 41%
里卡多·费哈索 38%
阿纳尔迪尼奥·博尔戈 13.0%
塞尔吉奥·维迪加尔 13.0%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
洛伦索·帕佐利尼
41%
里卡多·费哈索
38%
阿纳尔迪尼奥·博尔戈
13%
塞尔吉奥·维迪加尔
13%
Euclério Sampaio
4%
洛伦索·帕佐利尼 41%
里卡多·费哈索 38%
阿纳尔迪尼奥·博尔戈 13.0%
塞尔吉奥·维迪加尔 13.0%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
洛伦索·帕佐利尼
$1,949 交易量
41%
里卡多·费哈索
$205 交易量
38%
阿纳尔迪尼奥·博尔戈
$284 交易量
13%
塞尔吉奥·维迪加尔
$166 交易量
13%
Euclério Sampaio
$248 交易量
4%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current vice-governor assuming the state executive in 2026, holds a narrow lead in trader pricing at 52% for the October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff, driven by incumbency advantages, cross-party alliances, and recent surveys showing him ahead or tied with Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos). Pazolini, mayor of Vitória, trails at 41.5% amid strong name recognition but faces a fragmented field that includes lower-polling names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Euclério Sampaio, and Sergio Vidigal. Polling from May and June 2026 reflects tight first-round intentions near 35% each for the top two, with undecided voters and alliance shifts remaining key variables. The close market odds mirror this competitive dynamic, where turnout among regional blocs or late consolidation could still alter outcomes before election day.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
交易量
$2,852结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current vice-governor assuming the state executive in 2026, holds a narrow lead in trader pricing at 52% for the October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff, driven by incumbency advantages, cross-party alliances, and recent surveys showing him ahead or tied with Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos). Pazolini, mayor of Vitória, trails at 41.5% amid strong name recognition but faces a fragmented field that includes lower-polling names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Euclério Sampaio, and Sergio Vidigal. Polling from May and June 2026 reflects tight first-round intentions near 35% each for the top two, with undecided voters and alliance shifts remaining key variables. The close market odds mirror this competitive dynamic, where turnout among regional blocs or late consolidation could still alter outcomes before election day.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$2,852结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current vice-governor assuming the state executive in 2026, holds a narrow lead in trader pricing at 52% for the October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff, driven by incumbency advantages, cross-party alliances, and recent surveys showing him ahead or tied with Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos). Pazolini, mayor of Vitória, trails at 41.5% amid strong name recognition but faces a fragmented field that includes lower-polling names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Euclério Sampaio, and Sergio Vidigal. Polling from May and June 2026 reflects tight first-round intentions near 35% each for the top two, with undecided voters and alliance shifts remaining key variables. The close market odds mirror this competitive dynamic, where turnout among regional blocs or late consolidation could still alter outcomes before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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