**Latest forecast guidance positions the June 17 maximum in Buenos Aires near 14°C, with model ensembles showing comparable likelihood of 15°C depending on frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing.** Official sources including timeanddate and extended-range outlooks list a daytime high of 57°F (14°C) under broken clouds, consistent with the seasonal June average of 15°C and recent observed maxima around 14–17°C. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the 14°C (42.5%) and 15°C (37.5%) outcomes because small differences in southerly flow off the Río de la Plata or the exact passage of a weak cold front can shift the peak by 1°C. Warmer 16°C+ scenarios remain low-probability outliers tied to stronger subsidence or delayed frontal arrival, while cooler readings hinge on earlier or stronger maritime advection. With resolution just hours away, market-implied odds closely track the narrow spread in current numerical weather prediction runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月17日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
14°C 42%
15°C 37%
16°C 10%
13°C 8%
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
8%
14°C
42%
15°C
37%
16°C
10%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 42%
15°C 37%
16°C 10%
13°C 8%
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
8%
14°C
42%
15°C
37%
16°C
10%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Latest forecast guidance positions the June 17 maximum in Buenos Aires near 14°C, with model ensembles showing comparable likelihood of 15°C depending on frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing.** Official sources including timeanddate and extended-range outlooks list a daytime high of 57°F (14°C) under broken clouds, consistent with the seasonal June average of 15°C and recent observed maxima around 14–17°C. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the 14°C (42.5%) and 15°C (37.5%) outcomes because small differences in southerly flow off the Río de la Plata or the exact passage of a weak cold front can shift the peak by 1°C. Warmer 16°C+ scenarios remain low-probability outliers tied to stronger subsidence or delayed frontal arrival, while cooler readings hinge on earlier or stronger maritime advection. With resolution just hours away, market-implied odds closely track the narrow spread in current numerical weather prediction runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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