Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS project Chengdu's May 14 high temperature clustering around 27–28°C at Shuangliu International Airport, the market's resolution station, amid persistent overcast skies and light rain chances that limit solar insolation and daytime heating. Trader sentiment favors 27°C (27.5% implied probability) slightly over 26°C (21.5%), reflecting model consensus on thick low-level clouds capping peaks below recent days' 29–30°C highs, though minor disagreements persist on afternoon partial clearing or boundary layer mixing that could nudge toward 28°C. Historical May averages hover near 27°C, underscoring typical spring variability; watch intraday CMA updates and satellite imagery for cloud evolution as resolution nears tomorrow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 14?
27°C 28%
26°C 23%
28°C 16%
29°C 13%
$22,133 交易量
$22,133 交易量
23°C or below
8%
24°C
5%
25°C
12%
26°C
23%
27°C
28%
28°C
16%
29°C
13%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 28%
26°C 23%
28°C 16%
29°C 13%
$22,133 交易量
$22,133 交易量
23°C or below
8%
24°C
5%
25°C
12%
26°C
23%
27°C
28%
28°C
16%
29°C
13%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS project Chengdu's May 14 high temperature clustering around 27–28°C at Shuangliu International Airport, the market's resolution station, amid persistent overcast skies and light rain chances that limit solar insolation and daytime heating. Trader sentiment favors 27°C (27.5% implied probability) slightly over 26°C (21.5%), reflecting model consensus on thick low-level clouds capping peaks below recent days' 29–30°C highs, though minor disagreements persist on afternoon partial clearing or boundary layer mixing that could nudge toward 28°C. Historical May averages hover near 27°C, underscoring typical spring variability; watch intraday CMA updates and satellite imagery for cloud evolution as resolution nears tomorrow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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