Current NOAA and NWS ensemble forecasts for Chicago on August 7 point to a high near the seasonal normal of 83.5°F, with traders concentrating probability on the 84–87°F bins due to uncertainty in afternoon mixing and lake-breeze timing. Recent hazy conditions from elevated wildfire smoke have modestly suppressed daytime heating, while Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and variable cloud cover create a narrow range of possible outcomes. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger southerly flow to push readings into the upper 80s, keeping higher bins at low implied odds. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于芝加哥8月7日最高气温？
芝加哥8月7日最高气温？
86-87°F 38%
84-85华氏度 34%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
75华氏度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
13%
84-85华氏度
34%
86-87°F
38%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
3%
94°F或更高
1%
86-87°F 38%
84-85华氏度 34%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
75华氏度或以下
$10 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$10 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$6 交易量
4%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
3%
82-83°F
$63 交易量
13%
84-85华氏度
$108 交易量
34%
86-87°F
$297 交易量
38%
88-89°F
$42 交易量
16%
90-91°F
$51 交易量
5%
92-93°F
$5 交易量
3%
94°F或更高
$25 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NOAA and NWS ensemble forecasts for Chicago on August 7 point to a high near the seasonal normal of 83.5°F, with traders concentrating probability on the 84–87°F bins due to uncertainty in afternoon mixing and lake-breeze timing. Recent hazy conditions from elevated wildfire smoke have modestly suppressed daytime heating, while Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and variable cloud cover create a narrow range of possible outcomes. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger southerly flow to push readings into the upper 80s, keeping higher bins at low implied odds. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$618结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NOAA and NWS ensemble forecasts for Chicago on August 7 point to a high near the seasonal normal of 83.5°F, with traders concentrating probability on the 84–87°F bins due to uncertainty in afternoon mixing and lake-breeze timing. Recent hazy conditions from elevated wildfire smoke have modestly suppressed daytime heating, while Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and variable cloud cover create a narrow range of possible outcomes. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger southerly flow to push readings into the upper 80s, keeping higher bins at low implied odds. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$618结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETCurrent NOAA and NWS ensemble forecasts for Chicago on August 7 point to a high near the seasonal normal of 83.5°F, with traders concentrating probability on the 84–87°F bins due to uncertainty in afternoon mixing and lake-breeze timing. Recent hazy conditions from elevated wildfire smoke have modestly suppressed daytime heating, while Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and variable cloud cover create a narrow range of possible outcomes. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger southerly flow to push readings into the upper 80s, keeping higher bins at low implied odds. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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