Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC currently project a maximum temperature of 13–15°C in Buenos Aires on August 7, with sunny conditions and light westerly winds under stable late-winter high pressure. This narrow range explains the tight market-implied probabilities clustered on 14°C (39.5%), 15°C (33.5%), and 13°C (24.5%), as small differences in model timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Recent observations, such as the 17°C high recorded on August 3, indicate a modest cooling trend consistent with seasonal climatology for the region. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations tomorrow morning will likely resolve the final outcome ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
14°C 40%
15°C 34%
13°C 25%
12°C 4%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
3%
12°C
4%
13°C
25%
14°C
40%
15°C
34%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 40%
15°C 34%
13°C 25%
12°C 4%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
3%
12°C
4%
13°C
25%
14°C
40%
15°C
34%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC currently project a maximum temperature of 13–15°C in Buenos Aires on August 7, with sunny conditions and light westerly winds under stable late-winter high pressure. This narrow range explains the tight market-implied probabilities clustered on 14°C (39.5%), 15°C (33.5%), and 13°C (24.5%), as small differences in model timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Recent observations, such as the 17°C high recorded on August 3, indicate a modest cooling trend consistent with seasonal climatology for the region. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations tomorrow morning will likely resolve the final outcome ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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