Latest National Weather Service guidance for Central Park, New York City, pins the May 14 high temperature near 64°F under overcast skies and scattered rain showers from a slow-moving frontal boundary, aligning with trader consensus favoring 64-65°F at 32.5% implied probability. Persistent low-level clouds will limit solar insolation and suppress daytime heating, while light onshore winds enhance marine influence, capping peaks in the mid-60s—below the mid-May climatological average of 71°F. Model ensembles from GFS, ECMWF, and NAM show a tight spread of 62-67°F, with uncertainty hinging on afternoon cloud breaks (favoring 66-67°F) versus steadier overcast (62-63°F); evening 00Z runs may sharpen this before resolution tomorrow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on May 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 14?
64-65°F 32%
62-63°F 25%
66-67°F 21%
60-61°F 15%
最新
$33,024 交易量
最新
$33,024 交易量
2026-05-14
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
15%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 32%
62-63°F 25%
66-67°F 21%
60-61°F 15%
最新
$33,024 交易量
最新
$33,024 交易量
2026-05-14
57°F or below
$840 交易量
1%
58-59°F
$1,463 交易量
1%
60-61°F
$6,466 交易量
15%
62-63°F
$3,721 交易量
25%
64-65°F
$2,081 交易量
32%
66-67°F
$2,521 交易量
21%
68-69°F
$2,656 交易量
13%
70-71°F
$3,086 交易量
3%
72-73°F
$3,141 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$1,475 交易量
<1%
76°F or higher
$5,620 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for Central Park, New York City, pins the May 14 high temperature near 64°F under overcast skies and scattered rain showers from a slow-moving frontal boundary, aligning with trader consensus favoring 64-65°F at 32.5% implied probability. Persistent low-level clouds will limit solar insolation and suppress daytime heating, while light onshore winds enhance marine influence, capping peaks in the mid-60s—below the mid-May climatological average of 71°F. Model ensembles from GFS, ECMWF, and NAM show a tight spread of 62-67°F, with uncertainty hinging on afternoon cloud breaks (favoring 66-67°F) versus steadier overcast (62-63°F); evening 00Z runs may sharpen this before resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$33,024结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for Central Park, New York City, pins the May 14 high temperature near 64°F under overcast skies and scattered rain showers from a slow-moving frontal boundary, aligning with trader consensus favoring 64-65°F at 32.5% implied probability. Persistent low-level clouds will limit solar insolation and suppress daytime heating, while light onshore winds enhance marine influence, capping peaks in the mid-60s—below the mid-May climatological average of 71°F. Model ensembles from GFS, ECMWF, and NAM show a tight spread of 62-67°F, with uncertainty hinging on afternoon cloud breaks (favoring 66-67°F) versus steadier overcast (62-63°F); evening 00Z runs may sharpen this before resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$33,024结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest National Weather Service guidance for Central Park, New York City, pins the May 14 high temperature near 64°F under overcast skies and scattered rain showers from a slow-moving frontal boundary, aligning with trader consensus favoring 64-65°F at 32.5% implied probability. Persistent low-level clouds will limit solar insolation and suppress daytime heating, while light onshore winds enhance marine influence, capping peaks in the mid-60s—below the mid-May climatological average of 71°F. Model ensembles from GFS, ECMWF, and NAM show a tight spread of 62-67°F, with uncertainty hinging on afternoon cloud breaks (favoring 66-67°F) versus steadier overcast (62-63°F); evening 00Z runs may sharpen this before resolution tomorrow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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