Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 32.5% probability for a 64-65°F high in New York City on May 14, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles clustering forecasts in the 60-67°F range amid a slow-moving upper-level low and stalled frontal boundary ushering clouds and showers. Recent developments include May 13's breezy, mostly cloudy conditions with developing precipitation, suppressing diurnal heating below seasonal norms of ~71°F at Central Park. Key variables tipping outcomes include shower timing and intensity—earlier clearing or thinner clouds could boost 66-69°F odds, while persistent overcast or northwest winds favor 60-63°F; extremes remain unlikely given model agreement. Evening 00Z model runs may refine this ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on May 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 14?
64-65°F 33%
62-63°F 24%
66-67°F 22%
68-69°F 12%
最新
$35,501 交易量
最新
$35,501 交易量
2026-05-14
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
24%
64-65°F
33%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
1%
64-65°F 33%
62-63°F 24%
66-67°F 22%
68-69°F 12%
最新
$35,501 交易量
最新
$35,501 交易量
2026-05-14
57°F or below
$876 交易量
1%
58-59°F
$1,712 交易量
1%
60-61°F
$6,782 交易量
9%
62-63°F
$4,133 交易量
24%
64-65°F
$2,204 交易量
33%
66-67°F
$2,945 交易量
22%
68-69°F
$3,190 交易量
12%
70-71°F
$3,323 交易量
3%
72-73°F
$3,167 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$1,501 交易量
<1%
76°F or higher
$5,864 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 32.5% probability for a 64-65°F high in New York City on May 14, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles clustering forecasts in the 60-67°F range amid a slow-moving upper-level low and stalled frontal boundary ushering clouds and showers. Recent developments include May 13's breezy, mostly cloudy conditions with developing precipitation, suppressing diurnal heating below seasonal norms of ~71°F at Central Park. Key variables tipping outcomes include shower timing and intensity—earlier clearing or thinner clouds could boost 66-69°F odds, while persistent overcast or northwest winds favor 60-63°F; extremes remain unlikely given model agreement. Evening 00Z model runs may refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$35,501结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 32.5% probability for a 64-65°F high in New York City on May 14, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles clustering forecasts in the 60-67°F range amid a slow-moving upper-level low and stalled frontal boundary ushering clouds and showers. Recent developments include May 13's breezy, mostly cloudy conditions with developing precipitation, suppressing diurnal heating below seasonal norms of ~71°F at Central Park. Key variables tipping outcomes include shower timing and intensity—earlier clearing or thinner clouds could boost 66-69°F odds, while persistent overcast or northwest winds favor 60-63°F; extremes remain unlikely given model agreement. Evening 00Z model runs may refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$35,501结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket implies a 32.5% probability for a 64-65°F high in New York City on May 14, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles clustering forecasts in the 60-67°F range amid a slow-moving upper-level low and stalled frontal boundary ushering clouds and showers. Recent developments include May 13's breezy, mostly cloudy conditions with developing precipitation, suppressing diurnal heating below seasonal norms of ~71°F at Central Park. Key variables tipping outcomes include shower timing and intensity—earlier clearing or thinner clouds could boost 66-69°F odds, while persistent overcast or northwest winds favor 60-63°F; extremes remain unlikely given model agreement. Evening 00Z model runs may refine this ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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