Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 58-59°F (41.5%) in Seattle on May 14, mirroring the National Weather Service's latest forecast of near 58°F amid mostly cloudy skies and a 60% chance of showers from a weak upper-level trough and persistent marine stratus layer. Southwest winds at 7-14 mph and lingering low-level moisture are suppressing highs below the May average of 66°F, following an early-month cooldown from record-breaking warmth around May 4. GFS and ECMWF models align on upper 50s to low 60s, though timing of potential afternoon clearing introduces uncertainty; new 12z model runs today and airport observations tomorrow could refine probabilities before resolution at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seattle on May 14?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 14?
58-59°F 40%
60-61°F 25%
56-57°F 22%
62-63°F 8%
$28,503 交易量
$28,503 交易量
55°F or below
4%
56-57°F
22%
58-59°F
40%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
58-59°F 40%
60-61°F 25%
56-57°F 22%
62-63°F 8%
$28,503 交易量
$28,503 交易量
55°F or below
4%
56-57°F
22%
58-59°F
40%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 58-59°F (41.5%) in Seattle on May 14, mirroring the National Weather Service's latest forecast of near 58°F amid mostly cloudy skies and a 60% chance of showers from a weak upper-level trough and persistent marine stratus layer. Southwest winds at 7-14 mph and lingering low-level moisture are suppressing highs below the May average of 66°F, following an early-month cooldown from record-breaking warmth around May 4. GFS and ECMWF models align on upper 50s to low 60s, though timing of potential afternoon clearing introduces uncertainty; new 12z model runs today and airport observations tomorrow could refine probabilities before resolution at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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