Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 57°F or below in Seattle on May 15 (95.6% implied probability), anchored by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a maximum near 56°F under mostly cloudy skies, south-southwest winds of 10-15 mph, and a 40% chance of rain. This cool outlook stems from persistent onshore flow ushering moist marine air, suppressing temperatures well below the mid-May climatological average of 63-65°F amid lingering low-level clouds and instability. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on limited daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing or a wind shift reducing cloud cover, potentially nudging highs into the upper 50s, with NWS updates expected overnight as new observations refine guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月15日西雅图的最高温度？
5月15日西雅图的最高温度？
57°F或以下 95.5%
58-59°F 1.6%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
最新
$19,794 交易量
最新
$19,794 交易量
2026-05-15
57°F或以下
96%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F或更高
<1%
57°F或以下 95.5%
58-59°F 1.6%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
最新
$19,794 交易量
最新
$19,794 交易量
2026-05-15
57°F或以下
$2,530 交易量
96%
58-59°F
$3,545 交易量
2%
60-61°F
$2,688 交易量
1%
62-63°F
$1,432 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$1,286 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$1,795 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$1,647 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$1,373 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$1,109 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$1,499 交易量
<1%
76°F或更高
$891 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 57°F or below in Seattle on May 15 (95.6% implied probability), anchored by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a maximum near 56°F under mostly cloudy skies, south-southwest winds of 10-15 mph, and a 40% chance of rain. This cool outlook stems from persistent onshore flow ushering moist marine air, suppressing temperatures well below the mid-May climatological average of 63-65°F amid lingering low-level clouds and instability. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on limited daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing or a wind shift reducing cloud cover, potentially nudging highs into the upper 50s, with NWS updates expected overnight as new observations refine guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$19,794结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 57°F or below in Seattle on May 15 (95.6% implied probability), anchored by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a maximum near 56°F under mostly cloudy skies, south-southwest winds of 10-15 mph, and a 40% chance of rain. This cool outlook stems from persistent onshore flow ushering moist marine air, suppressing temperatures well below the mid-May climatological average of 63-65°F amid lingering low-level clouds and instability. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on limited daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing or a wind shift reducing cloud cover, potentially nudging highs into the upper 50s, with NWS updates expected overnight as new observations refine guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$19,794结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 57°F or below in Seattle on May 15 (95.6% implied probability), anchored by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a maximum near 56°F under mostly cloudy skies, south-southwest winds of 10-15 mph, and a 40% chance of rain. This cool outlook stems from persistent onshore flow ushering moist marine air, suppressing temperatures well below the mid-May climatological average of 63-65°F amid lingering low-level clouds and instability. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on limited daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing or a wind shift reducing cloud cover, potentially nudging highs into the upper 50s, with NWS updates expected overnight as new observations refine guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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