Current forecasts from global and regional models for Tel Aviv on August 27 point to a daily maximum near 32°C under stable summer conditions with light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation. This consensus, aligned with August climatology of 31–32°C highs, drives the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C (51.5%) and 34°C (40.5%) as the most probable outcomes, reflecting minor upward biases from urban heat or model spread. No significant synoptic changes or heatwave signals have emerged in the latest runs, keeping lower or higher extremes at low implied probabilities. Updated model guidance and official Israel Meteorological Service observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日特拉维夫的最高温度?
33°C 52%
34°C 41%
32°C 6%
35°C 4%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
52%
34°C
41%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 52%
34°C 41%
32°C 6%
35°C 4%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
52%
34°C
41%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from global and regional models for Tel Aviv on August 27 point to a daily maximum near 32°C under stable summer conditions with light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation. This consensus, aligned with August climatology of 31–32°C highs, drives the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C (51.5%) and 34°C (40.5%) as the most probable outcomes, reflecting minor upward biases from urban heat or model spread. No significant synoptic changes or heatwave signals have emerged in the latest runs, keeping lower or higher extremes at low implied probabilities. Updated model guidance and official Israel Meteorological Service observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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