Recent model consensus from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles positions a daily maximum near 29–30°C for Tel Aviv on June 17 as the most probable outcome, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading at those levels. Typical early-summer conditions feature moderate subtropical highs, abundant sunshine, and a persistent westerly sea breeze that caps coastal maxima within the 27–31°C envelope, aligning with AccuWeather’s June 2026 range of 27.8–31.4°C and historical June averages of 28–30°C. Absent strong easterly Sharav flow or anomalous cloud suppression, probabilities for 32°C or higher remain low. Traders will watch the next 48-hour model runs and official bulletins for any shift in boundary-layer mixing or wind direction before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月17日特拉维夫的最高温度?
30°C 48%
29°C 24%
31°C 13%
32°C 5%
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
24%
30°C
48%
31°C
13%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
30°C 48%
29°C 24%
31°C 13%
32°C 5%
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
24%
30°C
48%
31°C
13%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles positions a daily maximum near 29–30°C for Tel Aviv on June 17 as the most probable outcome, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading at those levels. Typical early-summer conditions feature moderate subtropical highs, abundant sunshine, and a persistent westerly sea breeze that caps coastal maxima within the 27–31°C envelope, aligning with AccuWeather’s June 2026 range of 27.8–31.4°C and historical June averages of 28–30°C. Absent strong easterly Sharav flow or anomalous cloud suppression, probabilities for 32°C or higher remain low. Traders will watch the next 48-hour model runs and official bulletins for any shift in boundary-layer mixing or wind direction before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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