Recent U.S. Treasury market dynamics center on the 10-year yield trading near 4.5% as of mid-May 2026, up from lower levels earlier in the year amid hotter-than-expected April CPI at 3.8% year-over-year and a sharp rise in producer prices driven by elevated energy costs. The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds target range at 3.50%–3.75% in late April, citing persistent inflation pressures and solid economic growth, has reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path. Persistent fiscal deficits and elevated Treasury issuance continue to exert upward pressure on long-term rates, while market participants monitor upcoming CPI and PCE releases along with the next FOMC meeting for signs of any shift in the rate trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2027年之前， 10年期美国国债收益率会有多高？
2027年之前， 10年期美国国债收益率会有多高？
$216,721 交易量
2026-12-31
4.6%
95%
4.8%
46%
5.0%
26%
5.2%
12%
5.5%
7%
5.7%
6%
6.0%
4%
$216,721 交易量
4.6%
$37,797 交易量
95%
4.8%
$47,647 交易量
46%
5.0%
$50,080 交易量
26%
5.2%
$9,852 交易量
12%
5.5%
$1,573 交易量
7%
5.7%
$3,229 交易量
6%
6.0%
$2,152 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent U.S. Treasury market dynamics center on the 10-year yield trading near 4.5% as of mid-May 2026, up from lower levels earlier in the year amid hotter-than-expected April CPI at 3.8% year-over-year and a sharp rise in producer prices driven by elevated energy costs. The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds target range at 3.50%–3.75% in late April, citing persistent inflation pressures and solid economic growth, has reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path. Persistent fiscal deficits and elevated Treasury issuance continue to exert upward pressure on long-term rates, while market participants monitor upcoming CPI and PCE releases along with the next FOMC meeting for signs of any shift in the rate trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
交易量
$216,721结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent U.S. Treasury market dynamics center on the 10-year yield trading near 4.5% as of mid-May 2026, up from lower levels earlier in the year amid hotter-than-expected April CPI at 3.8% year-over-year and a sharp rise in producer prices driven by elevated energy costs. The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds target range at 3.50%–3.75% in late April, citing persistent inflation pressures and solid economic growth, has reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path. Persistent fiscal deficits and elevated Treasury issuance continue to exert upward pressure on long-term rates, while market participants monitor upcoming CPI and PCE releases along with the next FOMC meeting for signs of any shift in the rate trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
交易量
$216,721结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. Treasury market dynamics center on the 10-year yield trading near 4.5% as of mid-May 2026, up from lower levels earlier in the year amid hotter-than-expected April CPI at 3.8% year-over-year and a sharp rise in producer prices driven by elevated energy costs. The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds target range at 3.50%–3.75% in late April, citing persistent inflation pressures and solid economic growth, has reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path. Persistent fiscal deficits and elevated Treasury issuance continue to exert upward pressure on long-term rates, while market participants monitor upcoming CPI and PCE releases along with the next FOMC meeting for signs of any shift in the rate trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题