The Federal Open Market Committee’s decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75 percent at its April 28-29 meeting, amid an 8-4 vote that produced the largest number of dissents since 1992, has shaped expectations for greater consensus ahead of the June 16-17 gathering. Persistent inflation pressures, including elevated energy prices linked to geopolitical tensions, and a resilient labor market with April payrolls exceeding forecasts have shifted the policy focus toward inflation risks rather than near-term easing. Market-implied odds now price in minimal prospects for rate cuts through year-end, reducing internal divisions over forward guidance. Recent communications from officials have reinforced a neutral-to-hawkish tilt, supporting the 73.5 percent probability assigned to zero dissents while leaving room for one dissent if incoming May CPI or payroll data introduce fresh uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0 74%
1 17%
2 7%
3 6%
$19,356 交易量
$19,356 交易量
2026-06-17
0
74%
1
15%
2
7%
3
6%
4+
2%
0 74%
1 17%
2 7%
3 6%
$19,356 交易量
$19,356 交易量
2026-06-17
0
$12,789 交易量
74%
1
$372 交易量
15%
2
$155 交易量
7%
3
$856 交易量
6%
4+
$5,184 交易量
2%
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Federal Open Market Committee’s decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75 percent at its April 28-29 meeting, amid an 8-4 vote that produced the largest number of dissents since 1992, has shaped expectations for greater consensus ahead of the June 16-17 gathering. Persistent inflation pressures, including elevated energy prices linked to geopolitical tensions, and a resilient labor market with April payrolls exceeding forecasts have shifted the policy focus toward inflation risks rather than near-term easing. Market-implied odds now price in minimal prospects for rate cuts through year-end, reducing internal divisions over forward guidance. Recent communications from officials have reinforced a neutral-to-hawkish tilt, supporting the 73.5 percent probability assigned to zero dissents while leaving room for one dissent if incoming May CPI or payroll data introduce fresh uncertainty.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
交易量
$19,356结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Federal Open Market Committee’s decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75 percent at its April 28-29 meeting, amid an 8-4 vote that produced the largest number of dissents since 1992, has shaped expectations for greater consensus ahead of the June 16-17 gathering. Persistent inflation pressures, including elevated energy prices linked to geopolitical tensions, and a resilient labor market with April payrolls exceeding forecasts have shifted the policy focus toward inflation risks rather than near-term easing. Market-implied odds now price in minimal prospects for rate cuts through year-end, reducing internal divisions over forward guidance. Recent communications from officials have reinforced a neutral-to-hawkish tilt, supporting the 73.5 percent probability assigned to zero dissents while leaving room for one dissent if incoming May CPI or payroll data introduce fresh uncertainty.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$19,356结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Federal Open Market Committee’s decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75 percent at its April 28-29 meeting, amid an 8-4 vote that produced the largest number of dissents since 1992, has shaped expectations for greater consensus ahead of the June 16-17 gathering. Persistent inflation pressures, including elevated energy prices linked to geopolitical tensions, and a resilient labor market with April payrolls exceeding forecasts have shifted the policy focus toward inflation risks rather than near-term easing. Market-implied odds now price in minimal prospects for rate cuts through year-end, reducing internal divisions over forward guidance. Recent communications from officials have reinforced a neutral-to-hawkish tilt, supporting the 73.5 percent probability assigned to zero dissents while leaving room for one dissent if incoming May CPI or payroll data introduce fresh uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题