Market-implied odds assign a 73.5% probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting trader consensus that the committee will converge after the April 28-29 session produced a record four dissents—the highest since 1992. That outcome stemmed from three regional presidents opposing language signaling potential rate cuts amid inflation readings above the 2% target, while one governor favored an immediate reduction from the 3.50%-3.75% federal funds rate range. May CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases have reinforced a neutral-to-hawkish policy stance, with futures markets now pricing less than a 10% chance of any 2026 easing, narrowing the scope for internal divisions. The 15% probability on a single dissent captures residual uncertainty around inflation persistence, while lower odds for two or more align with recent committee alignment ahead of the next data-dependent decision.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0 74%
1 17%
2 7%
3 6%
$19,356 交易量
$19,356 交易量
2026-06-17
0
74%
1
15%
2
7%
3
6%
4+
2%
0 74%
1 17%
2 7%
3 6%
$19,356 交易量
$19,356 交易量
2026-06-17
0
$12,789 交易量
74%
1
$372 交易量
15%
2
$155 交易量
7%
3
$856 交易量
6%
4+
$5,184 交易量
2%
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Market-implied odds assign a 73.5% probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting trader consensus that the committee will converge after the April 28-29 session produced a record four dissents—the highest since 1992. That outcome stemmed from three regional presidents opposing language signaling potential rate cuts amid inflation readings above the 2% target, while one governor favored an immediate reduction from the 3.50%-3.75% federal funds rate range. May CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases have reinforced a neutral-to-hawkish policy stance, with futures markets now pricing less than a 10% chance of any 2026 easing, narrowing the scope for internal divisions. The 15% probability on a single dissent captures residual uncertainty around inflation persistence, while lower odds for two or more align with recent committee alignment ahead of the next data-dependent decision.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
交易量
$19,356结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Market-implied odds assign a 73.5% probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting trader consensus that the committee will converge after the April 28-29 session produced a record four dissents—the highest since 1992. That outcome stemmed from three regional presidents opposing language signaling potential rate cuts amid inflation readings above the 2% target, while one governor favored an immediate reduction from the 3.50%-3.75% federal funds rate range. May CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases have reinforced a neutral-to-hawkish policy stance, with futures markets now pricing less than a 10% chance of any 2026 easing, narrowing the scope for internal divisions. The 15% probability on a single dissent captures residual uncertainty around inflation persistence, while lower odds for two or more align with recent committee alignment ahead of the next data-dependent decision.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$19,356结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds assign a 73.5% probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting trader consensus that the committee will converge after the April 28-29 session produced a record four dissents—the highest since 1992. That outcome stemmed from three regional presidents opposing language signaling potential rate cuts amid inflation readings above the 2% target, while one governor favored an immediate reduction from the 3.50%-3.75% federal funds rate range. May CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases have reinforced a neutral-to-hawkish policy stance, with futures markets now pricing less than a 10% chance of any 2026 easing, narrowing the scope for internal divisions. The 15% probability on a single dissent captures residual uncertainty around inflation persistence, while lower odds for two or more align with recent committee alignment ahead of the next data-dependent decision.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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