Jerome Powell’s term as a Federal Reserve governor extends through January 2028, creating the structural basis for market-implied probabilities on his departure date. After stepping down as chair on May 15, 2026, Powell announced he would remain on the Board to safeguard institutional independence amid Trump administration pressure for lower rates and prior legal scrutiny, which has since been dropped. This stance, combined with statutory “for cause” removal limits and the recent confirmation of Kevin Warsh as chair, has anchored trader sentiment around extended tenure rather than near-term exit. Key upcoming catalysts include FOMC meetings through year-end and any administration signals on board vacancies, which could shift probabilities if political dynamics intensify.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$436,216 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
18%
$436,216 交易量
12月31日
$149,624 交易量
18%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s term as a Federal Reserve governor extends through January 2028, creating the structural basis for market-implied probabilities on his departure date. After stepping down as chair on May 15, 2026, Powell announced he would remain on the Board to safeguard institutional independence amid Trump administration pressure for lower rates and prior legal scrutiny, which has since been dropped. This stance, combined with statutory “for cause” removal limits and the recent confirmation of Kevin Warsh as chair, has anchored trader sentiment around extended tenure rather than near-term exit. Key upcoming catalysts include FOMC meetings through year-end and any administration signals on board vacancies, which could shift probabilities if political dynamics intensify.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
市场开放时间： Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
交易量
$436,216结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s term as a Federal Reserve governor extends through January 2028, creating the structural basis for market-implied probabilities on his departure date. After stepping down as chair on May 15, 2026, Powell announced he would remain on the Board to safeguard institutional independence amid Trump administration pressure for lower rates and prior legal scrutiny, which has since been dropped. This stance, combined with statutory “for cause” removal limits and the recent confirmation of Kevin Warsh as chair, has anchored trader sentiment around extended tenure rather than near-term exit. Key upcoming catalysts include FOMC meetings through year-end and any administration signals on board vacancies, which could shift probabilities if political dynamics intensify.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$436,216结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s term as a Federal Reserve governor extends through January 2028, creating the structural basis for market-implied probabilities on his departure date. After stepping down as chair on May 15, 2026, Powell announced he would remain on the Board to safeguard institutional independence amid Trump administration pressure for lower rates and prior legal scrutiny, which has since been dropped. This stance, combined with statutory “for cause” removal limits and the recent confirmation of Kevin Warsh as chair, has anchored trader sentiment around extended tenure rather than near-term exit. Key upcoming catalysts include FOMC meetings through year-end and any administration signals on board vacancies, which could shift probabilities if political dynamics intensify.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题