Incumbent Karen Bass secured roughly 34% in the June 2, 2026 nonpartisan primary, outpacing City Councilmember Nithya Raman’s 29% and Spencer Pratt’s 26% after weeks of mail-ballot tabulation. This produced a final margin in the 5–10% band once Raman overtook Pratt in later counts. Pre-primary polls had shown a tightening three-way contest amid criticism of Bass’s record on homelessness and public safety, yet her consistent first-place showing and the city’s Democratic lean helped lock in the observed spread. The market’s strong consensus reflects near-complete vote certification, with only marginal remaining ballots unlikely to alter the range. A late surge in uncounted votes favoring Raman or Pratt, or an official recount, could still narrow the gap into the 0–5% tier, though current tallies make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Bass 5–10% 94.3%
Bass 0–5% 2.4%
Bass 10–15% 1.0%
Bass 15%+ <1%
$207,065 交易量
$207,065 交易量
2026-06-02
Bass 0–5%
2%
Bass 5–10%
94%
Bass 10–15%
1%
Bass 15%+
<1%
Pratt Wins
<1%
Raman Wins
<1%
Other
<1%
Bass 5–10% 94.3%
Bass 0–5% 2.4%
Bass 10–15% 1.0%
Bass 15%+ <1%
$207,065 交易量
$207,065 交易量
2026-06-02
Bass 0–5%
$42,695 交易量
2%
Bass 5–10%
$50,867 交易量
94%
Bass 10–15%
$31,866 交易量
1%
Bass 15%+
$11,297 交易量
<1%
Pratt Wins
$36,150 交易量
<1%
Raman Wins
$22,186 交易量
<1%
Other
$12,004 交易量
<1%
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the City and County of Los Angeles.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Incumbent Karen Bass secured roughly 34% in the June 2, 2026 nonpartisan primary, outpacing City Councilmember Nithya Raman’s 29% and Spencer Pratt’s 26% after weeks of mail-ballot tabulation. This produced a final margin in the 5–10% band once Raman overtook Pratt in later counts. Pre-primary polls had shown a tightening three-way contest amid criticism of Bass’s record on homelessness and public safety, yet her consistent first-place showing and the city’s Democratic lean helped lock in the observed spread. The market’s strong consensus reflects near-complete vote certification, with only marginal remaining ballots unlikely to alter the range. A late surge in uncounted votes favoring Raman or Pratt, or an official recount, could still narrow the gap into the 0–5% tier, though current tallies make such shifts improbable.
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the City and County of Los Angeles.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the City and County of Los Angeles.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
交易量
$207,065结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 3:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the City and County of Los Angeles.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Incumbent Karen Bass secured roughly 34% in the June 2, 2026 nonpartisan primary, outpacing City Councilmember Nithya Raman’s 29% and Spencer Pratt’s 26% after weeks of mail-ballot tabulation. This produced a final margin in the 5–10% band once Raman overtook Pratt in later counts. Pre-primary polls had shown a tightening three-way contest amid criticism of Bass’s record on homelessness and public safety, yet her consistent first-place showing and the city’s Democratic lean helped lock in the observed spread. The market’s strong consensus reflects near-complete vote certification, with only marginal remaining ballots unlikely to alter the range. A late surge in uncounted votes favoring Raman or Pratt, or an official recount, could still narrow the gap into the 0–5% tier, though current tallies make such shifts improbable.
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the City and County of Los Angeles.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the City and County of Los Angeles.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$207,065结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 3:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Karen Bass secured roughly 34% in the June 2, 2026 nonpartisan primary, outpacing City Councilmember Nithya Raman’s 29% and Spencer Pratt’s 26% after weeks of mail-ballot tabulation. This produced a final margin in the 5–10% band once Raman overtook Pratt in later counts. Pre-primary polls had shown a tightening three-way contest amid criticism of Bass’s record on homelessness and public safety, yet her consistent first-place showing and the city’s Democratic lean helped lock in the observed spread. The market’s strong consensus reflects near-complete vote certification, with only marginal remaining ballots unlikely to alter the range. A late surge in uncounted votes favoring Raman or Pratt, or an official recount, could still narrow the gap into the 0–5% tier, though current tallies make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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