Official observations from Argentine meteorological stations, including those operated by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, recorded a daily minimum of 9°C in Buenos Aires on August 27, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light rain, southeast winds, and high humidity near 90%. This aligned closely with short-range forecast guidance showing overnight lows near 11–12°C that were revised downward by verified station data. Near-100% market-implied odds on 9°C reflect trader confidence in these ground-truth measurements over model projections or nearby-site variations. A realistic challenge would require documented discrepancies between primary stations, post-hoc quality-control adjustments, or resolution criteria specifying a different reference location or time window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度?
9°C 100.0%
6°C或以下 <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$3,576 交易量
$3,576 交易量
6°C或以下
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
是
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C或更高
否
9°C 100.0%
6°C或以下 <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$3,576 交易量
$3,576 交易量
6°C或以下
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
是
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from Argentine meteorological stations, including those operated by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, recorded a daily minimum of 9°C in Buenos Aires on August 27, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light rain, southeast winds, and high humidity near 90%. This aligned closely with short-range forecast guidance showing overnight lows near 11–12°C that were revised downward by verified station data. Near-100% market-implied odds on 9°C reflect trader confidence in these ground-truth measurements over model projections or nearby-site variations. A realistic challenge would require documented discrepancies between primary stations, post-hoc quality-control adjustments, or resolution criteria specifying a different reference location or time window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题