High humidity levels near 90% combined with persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm activity have limited radiative cooling overnight in Guangzhou, positioning the 28°C outcome as the market favorite with strong trader consensus. Official forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and local models indicate the daily minimum will likely settle between 26–28°C, consistent with subtropical summer climatology where dew points remain elevated around 26–28°C. Recent model runs show no significant cold air advection or clear-sky conditions that would drive sharper drops, keeping lower-temperature outcomes below 5% implied probability. Updated evening observations confirm temperatures stabilizing near 27–28°C into the overnight period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日广州最低气温？
8月29日广州最低气温？
26°C 35%
25°C 7%
24°C 3%
21°C or below <1%
$1,430 交易量
$1,430 交易量
2026-08-29
21°C or below
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
35%
27°C
-
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 35%
25°C 7%
24°C 3%
21°C or below <1%
$1,430 交易量
$1,430 交易量
2026-08-29
21°C or below
$325 交易量
1%
22°C
$334 交易量
<1%
23°C
$65 交易量
1%
24°C
$86 交易量
3%
25°C
$97 交易量
7%
26°C
$93 交易量
35%
27°C
$0 交易量
-
28°C
$124 交易量
<1%
29°C
$73 交易量
<1%
30°C
$173 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$60 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High humidity levels near 90% combined with persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm activity have limited radiative cooling overnight in Guangzhou, positioning the 28°C outcome as the market favorite with strong trader consensus. Official forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and local models indicate the daily minimum will likely settle between 26–28°C, consistent with subtropical summer climatology where dew points remain elevated around 26–28°C. Recent model runs show no significant cold air advection or clear-sky conditions that would drive sharper drops, keeping lower-temperature outcomes below 5% implied probability. Updated evening observations confirm temperatures stabilizing near 27–28°C into the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,430结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High humidity levels near 90% combined with persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm activity have limited radiative cooling overnight in Guangzhou, positioning the 28°C outcome as the market favorite with strong trader consensus. Official forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and local models indicate the daily minimum will likely settle between 26–28°C, consistent with subtropical summer climatology where dew points remain elevated around 26–28°C. Recent model runs show no significant cold air advection or clear-sky conditions that would drive sharper drops, keeping lower-temperature outcomes below 5% implied probability. Updated evening observations confirm temperatures stabilizing near 27–28°C into the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,430结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETHigh humidity levels near 90% combined with persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm activity have limited radiative cooling overnight in Guangzhou, positioning the 28°C outcome as the market favorite with strong trader consensus. Official forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and local models indicate the daily minimum will likely settle between 26–28°C, consistent with subtropical summer climatology where dew points remain elevated around 26–28°C. Recent model runs show no significant cold air advection or clear-sky conditions that would drive sharper drops, keeping lower-temperature outcomes below 5% implied probability. Updated evening observations confirm temperatures stabilizing near 27–28°C into the overnight period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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