Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Uttar Pradesh, with ongoing light to moderate rain or thundershowers and generally cloudy skies, is the main driver keeping Lucknow's minimum temperatures clustered near 27°C for August 30. High humidity and cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, consistent with recent IMD observations showing minima of 26–27°C and no large day-to-day changes. Forecast models from IMD, Met Office, and others converge on overnight lows of 26–28°C under similar conditions, with the tight spread in market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any brief clear intervals that could allow slightly greater cooling. Historical late-August baselines around 26°C further anchor trader expectations ahead of the 0830 IST observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日勒克瑙的最低温度?
27°C 50%
24°C 49%
29°C 49%
26°C 30%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
11%
23°C
9%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
30%
27°C
32%
28°C
27%
29°C
49%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
4%
27°C 50%
24°C 49%
29°C 49%
26°C 30%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
11%
23°C
9%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
30%
27°C
32%
28°C
27%
29°C
49%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Uttar Pradesh, with ongoing light to moderate rain or thundershowers and generally cloudy skies, is the main driver keeping Lucknow's minimum temperatures clustered near 27°C for August 30. High humidity and cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, consistent with recent IMD observations showing minima of 26–27°C and no large day-to-day changes. Forecast models from IMD, Met Office, and others converge on overnight lows of 26–28°C under similar conditions, with the tight spread in market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any brief clear intervals that could allow slightly greater cooling. Historical late-August baselines around 26°C further anchor trader expectations ahead of the 0830 IST observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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