Recent model consensus and radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions with light northerly winds favor a notably cooler overnight minimum in Madrid on August 29 than the 18.2 °C climatological average. Recent observations show a sharp drop, with the August 27 low reaching 16.3 °C (5.1 °C below normal), and several guidance runs projecting morning lows near 12–15 °C amid dry air and high pressure. These factors concentrate trader-implied odds on the 11–15 °C range while leaving room for uncertainty from minor forecast revisions or localized variations before official station readings finalize the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日马德里最低气温？
8月29日马德里最低气温？
11°C or below 44%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
11°C or below
44%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C
8%
17°C
15%
18°C
11%
19°C
13%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
2%
11°C or below 44%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
11°C or below
$6 交易量
44%
12°C
$0 交易量
27%
13°C
$0 交易量
27%
14°C
$0 交易量
27%
15°C
$0 交易量
25%
16°C
$0 交易量
8%
17°C
$10 交易量
15%
18°C
$5 交易量
11%
19°C
$5 交易量
13%
20°C
$5 交易量
8%
21°C or higher
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions with light northerly winds favor a notably cooler overnight minimum in Madrid on August 29 than the 18.2 °C climatological average. Recent observations show a sharp drop, with the August 27 low reaching 16.3 °C (5.1 °C below normal), and several guidance runs projecting morning lows near 12–15 °C amid dry air and high pressure. These factors concentrate trader-implied odds on the 11–15 °C range while leaving room for uncertainty from minor forecast revisions or localized variations before official station readings finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$36结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions with light northerly winds favor a notably cooler overnight minimum in Madrid on August 29 than the 18.2 °C climatological average. Recent observations show a sharp drop, with the August 27 low reaching 16.3 °C (5.1 °C below normal), and several guidance runs projecting morning lows near 12–15 °C amid dry air and high pressure. These factors concentrate trader-implied odds on the 11–15 °C range while leaving room for uncertainty from minor forecast revisions or localized variations before official station readings finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$36结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent model consensus and radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions with light northerly winds favor a notably cooler overnight minimum in Madrid on August 29 than the 18.2 °C climatological average. Recent observations show a sharp drop, with the August 27 low reaching 16.3 °C (5.1 °C below normal), and several guidance runs projecting morning lows near 12–15 °C amid dry air and high pressure. These factors concentrate trader-implied odds on the 11–15 °C range while leaving room for uncertainty from minor forecast revisions or localized variations before official station readings finalize the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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