Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low in Miami on June 17 near the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with the near-even market split between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Persistent high humidity and dew points above 70°F limit radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, while light southerly flow and urban heat retention further suppress temperature drops. Typical June climatology shows average lows near 77°F, but recent days have featured warmer nocturnal readings in the upper 70s amid the seasonal pattern of scattered afternoon storms. Any increase in cloud cover or showers tonight could push the minimum into the 80–81°F range, whereas clearer conditions would favor the lower bin. Updated model runs and local observations tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of the daily minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月17日迈阿密最低气温?
78-79°F 41%
80-81°F 37%
76-77°F 6.6%
82-83°F 3.6%
69°F或更低
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88华氏度或更高
<1%
78-79°F 41%
80-81°F 37%
76-77°F 6.6%
82-83°F 3.6%
69°F或更低
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88华氏度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low in Miami on June 17 near the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with the near-even market split between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Persistent high humidity and dew points above 70°F limit radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, while light southerly flow and urban heat retention further suppress temperature drops. Typical June climatology shows average lows near 77°F, but recent days have featured warmer nocturnal readings in the upper 70s amid the seasonal pattern of scattered afternoon storms. Any increase in cloud cover or showers tonight could push the minimum into the 80–81°F range, whereas clearer conditions would favor the lower bin. Updated model runs and local observations tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of the daily minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题