Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, Met Office, and international models indicate Shanghai will experience continued subtropical summer conditions on August 31, with high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Persistent easterly to southeasterly flow from the East China Sea maintains warm, moist maritime air, while recent typhoon remnants and ongoing convective activity suppress temperature drops. This setup favors overnight lows clustered around 26–28°C, aligning with model consensus showing minima near 26–27°C amid 70–90% humidity and limited clear-sky periods. Trader emphasis on 27°C (highest implied probability) and 28°C reflects the narrow expected range, with lower probabilities for 26°C or cooler tied to potential for brief clearer intervals or stronger winds that could enhance cooling. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日上海最低气温？
8月31日上海最低气温？
27°C 52%
28°C 34%
26°C 13%
25°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
13%
27°C
52%
28°C
34%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 52%
28°C 34%
26°C 13%
25°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
22°C or below
$50 交易量
<1%
23°C
$168 交易量
<1%
24°C
$0 交易量
2%
25°C
$0 交易量
8%
26°C
$263 交易量
13%
27°C
$849 交易量
52%
28°C
$270 交易量
34%
29°C
$32 交易量
8%
30°C
$0 交易量
2%
31°C
$168 交易量
1%
32°C or higher
$50 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, Met Office, and international models indicate Shanghai will experience continued subtropical summer conditions on August 31, with high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Persistent easterly to southeasterly flow from the East China Sea maintains warm, moist maritime air, while recent typhoon remnants and ongoing convective activity suppress temperature drops. This setup favors overnight lows clustered around 26–28°C, aligning with model consensus showing minima near 26–27°C amid 70–90% humidity and limited clear-sky periods. Trader emphasis on 27°C (highest implied probability) and 28°C reflects the narrow expected range, with lower probabilities for 26°C or cooler tied to potential for brief clearer intervals or stronger winds that could enhance cooling. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,845结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, Met Office, and international models indicate Shanghai will experience continued subtropical summer conditions on August 31, with high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Persistent easterly to southeasterly flow from the East China Sea maintains warm, moist maritime air, while recent typhoon remnants and ongoing convective activity suppress temperature drops. This setup favors overnight lows clustered around 26–28°C, aligning with model consensus showing minima near 26–27°C amid 70–90% humidity and limited clear-sky periods. Trader emphasis on 27°C (highest implied probability) and 28°C reflects the narrow expected range, with lower probabilities for 26°C or cooler tied to potential for brief clearer intervals or stronger winds that could enhance cooling. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,845结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, Met Office, and international models indicate Shanghai will experience continued subtropical summer conditions on August 31, with high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Persistent easterly to southeasterly flow from the East China Sea maintains warm, moist maritime air, while recent typhoon remnants and ongoing convective activity suppress temperature drops. This setup favors overnight lows clustered around 26–28°C, aligning with model consensus showing minima near 26–27°C amid 70–90% humidity and limited clear-sky periods. Trader emphasis on 27°C (highest implied probability) and 28°C reflects the narrow expected range, with lower probabilities for 26°C or cooler tied to potential for brief clearer intervals or stronger winds that could enhance cooling. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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