Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will experience persistent cloud cover and light rain on June 14, limiting daytime heating while maintaining overnight lows near 20°C through reduced radiative cooling and moderate southerly flow. This aligns with typical early-summer plum rain conditions, where average June minima hover around 21–24°C but localized moisture and overcast skies often anchor the daily low at or just below 20°C. Trader consensus at 100% for this outcome reflects high confidence in official station data resolution. A sudden shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly advection could allow temperatures to dip lower, though model runs show low probability of such changes before midnight local time.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日上海最低气温?
20°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$62,314 交易量
$62,314 交易量
17°C或以下
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C或更高
否
20°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$62,314 交易量
$62,314 交易量
17°C或以下
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will experience persistent cloud cover and light rain on June 14, limiting daytime heating while maintaining overnight lows near 20°C through reduced radiative cooling and moderate southerly flow. This aligns with typical early-summer plum rain conditions, where average June minima hover around 21–24°C but localized moisture and overcast skies often anchor the daily low at or just below 20°C. Trader consensus at 100% for this outcome reflects high confidence in official station data resolution. A sudden shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly advection could allow temperatures to dip lower, though model runs show low probability of such changes before midnight local time.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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