Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to persistent monsoon moisture and thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen through August 31, sustaining high humidity above 85% and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup typically anchors overnight lows near the long-term August average of 25–26°C, supporting the market’s leading 26°C outcome. Variable steering winds and localized heavy rain could enhance evaporative cooling enough to dip toward 22–24°C in some models, explaining the tight spread with the “22°C or below” contract. Official minimums will reflect verified station data under these humid subtropical conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日深圳最低气温？
8月31日深圳最低气温？
22°C or below 85%
32°C or higher 85%
26°C 54%
29°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
22°C or below
85%
23°C
44%
24°C
36%
25°C
43%
26°C
54%
27°C
32%
28°C
48%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C
46%
32°C or higher
85%
22°C or below 85%
32°C or higher 85%
26°C 54%
29°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
22°C or below
$0 交易量
85%
23°C
$0 交易量
44%
24°C
$0 交易量
36%
25°C
$0 交易量
43%
26°C
$0 交易量
54%
27°C
$0 交易量
32%
28°C
$0 交易量
48%
29°C
$0 交易量
49%
30°C
$0 交易量
2%
31°C
$0 交易量
46%
32°C or higher
$130 交易量
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to persistent monsoon moisture and thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen through August 31, sustaining high humidity above 85% and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup typically anchors overnight lows near the long-term August average of 25–26°C, supporting the market’s leading 26°C outcome. Variable steering winds and localized heavy rain could enhance evaporative cooling enough to dip toward 22–24°C in some models, explaining the tight spread with the “22°C or below” contract. Official minimums will reflect verified station data under these humid subtropical conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$130结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to persistent monsoon moisture and thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen through August 31, sustaining high humidity above 85% and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup typically anchors overnight lows near the long-term August average of 25–26°C, supporting the market’s leading 26°C outcome. Variable steering winds and localized heavy rain could enhance evaporative cooling enough to dip toward 22–24°C in some models, explaining the tight spread with the “22°C or below” contract. Official minimums will reflect verified station data under these humid subtropical conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$130结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to persistent monsoon moisture and thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen through August 31, sustaining high humidity above 85% and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup typically anchors overnight lows near the long-term August average of 25–26°C, supporting the market’s leading 26°C outcome. Variable steering winds and localized heavy rain could enhance evaporative cooling enough to dip toward 22–24°C in some models, explaining the tight spread with the “22°C or below” contract. Official minimums will reflect verified station data under these humid subtropical conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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