**Current observational data from Wellington-area stations and forecast models indicate a daily minimum near 5°C, producing the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome.** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, with light southerly winds and dew points in the mid-40s °F (roughly 7–8 °C), have allowed radiational cooling to reach this level without significant cloud cover or warmer advection interrupting the trend. This aligns with typical early-spring climatology for the region, where September overnight lows often fall between 4–7 °C under similar high-pressure setups. The 100 % implied probability reflects traders' assessment that official MetService or equivalent verified readings will settle at 5 °C. A late revision in station data, an unforecasted wind shift, or measurement discrepancy at the precise reporting site could still shift resolution, though such changes remain low-probability given converging model guidance and real-time observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日惠灵顿的最低温度？
9月11日惠灵顿的最低温度？
5°C 100.0%
3°C 2%
2°C或以下 <1%
4°C <1%
$881 交易量
$881 交易量
2026-09-11
2°C或以下
否
3°C
否
4°C
否
5°C
是
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C或更高
否
5°C 100.0%
3°C 2%
2°C或以下 <1%
4°C <1%
$881 交易量
$881 交易量
2026-09-11
2°C或以下
$20 交易量
否
3°C
$5 交易量
否
4°C
$60 交易量
否
5°C
$238 交易量
是
6°C
$126 交易量
否
7°C
$159 交易量
否
8°C
$115 交易量
否
9°C
$92 交易量
否
10°C
$15 交易量
否
11°C
$25 交易量
否
12°C或更高
$25 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current observational data from Wellington-area stations and forecast models indicate a daily minimum near 5°C, producing the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome.** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, with light southerly winds and dew points in the mid-40s °F (roughly 7–8 °C), have allowed radiational cooling to reach this level without significant cloud cover or warmer advection interrupting the trend. This aligns with typical early-spring climatology for the region, where September overnight lows often fall between 4–7 °C under similar high-pressure setups. The 100 % implied probability reflects traders' assessment that official MetService or equivalent verified readings will settle at 5 °C. A late revision in station data, an unforecasted wind shift, or measurement discrepancy at the precise reporting site could still shift resolution, though such changes remain low-probability given converging model guidance and real-time observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$881结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current observational data from Wellington-area stations and forecast models indicate a daily minimum near 5°C, producing the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome.** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, with light southerly winds and dew points in the mid-40s °F (roughly 7–8 °C), have allowed radiational cooling to reach this level without significant cloud cover or warmer advection interrupting the trend. This aligns with typical early-spring climatology for the region, where September overnight lows often fall between 4–7 °C under similar high-pressure setups. The 100 % implied probability reflects traders' assessment that official MetService or equivalent verified readings will settle at 5 °C. A late revision in station data, an unforecasted wind shift, or measurement discrepancy at the precise reporting site could still shift resolution, though such changes remain low-probability given converging model guidance and real-time observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$881结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Current observational data from Wellington-area stations and forecast models indicate a daily minimum near 5°C, producing the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome.** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, with light southerly winds and dew points in the mid-40s °F (roughly 7–8 °C), have allowed radiational cooling to reach this level without significant cloud cover or warmer advection interrupting the trend. This aligns with typical early-spring climatology for the region, where September overnight lows often fall between 4–7 °C under similar high-pressure setups. The 100 % implied probability reflects traders' assessment that official MetService or equivalent verified readings will settle at 5 °C. A late revision in station data, an unforecasted wind shift, or measurement discrepancy at the precise reporting site could still shift resolution, though such changes remain low-probability given converging model guidance and real-time observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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