Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead in voting intentions ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with support concentrated among francophone voters and translating into strong seat projections under Quebec's first-past-the-post system. The Coalition Avenir Québec has declined sharply following leadership transition and governance fatigue, while the Quebec Liberal Party has stabilized in second place but trails in most models. These trends, reflected in recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data through early August, underpin trader consensus favoring a PQ plurality or majority. The campaign launch expected by late August and any shifts in undecided voters could still influence final seat outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于魁人党 74%
魁北克自由党 15%
魁人党 13%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$757,256 交易量
$757,256 交易量
2026-10-05
魁人党
74%
魁北克自由党
15%
魁人党
13%
魁北克保守党
<1%
魁团
<1%
魁北克绿党
<1%
魁人党 74%
魁北克自由党 15%
魁人党 13%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$757,256 交易量
$757,256 交易量
2026-10-05
魁人党
$81,430 交易量
74%
魁北克自由党
$101,564 交易量
15%
魁人党
$107,974 交易量
13%
魁北克保守党
$207,347 交易量
<1%
魁团
$101,443 交易量
<1%
魁北克绿党
$157,498 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead in voting intentions ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with support concentrated among francophone voters and translating into strong seat projections under Quebec's first-past-the-post system. The Coalition Avenir Québec has declined sharply following leadership transition and governance fatigue, while the Quebec Liberal Party has stabilized in second place but trails in most models. These trends, reflected in recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data through early August, underpin trader consensus favoring a PQ plurality or majority. The campaign launch expected by late August and any shifts in undecided voters could still influence final seat outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市场开放时间： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
交易量
$757,256结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead in voting intentions ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with support concentrated among francophone voters and translating into strong seat projections under Quebec's first-past-the-post system. The Coalition Avenir Québec has declined sharply following leadership transition and governance fatigue, while the Quebec Liberal Party has stabilized in second place but trails in most models. These trends, reflected in recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data through early August, underpin trader consensus favoring a PQ plurality or majority. The campaign launch expected by late August and any shifts in undecided voters could still influence final seat outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$757,256结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead in voting intentions ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with support concentrated among francophone voters and translating into strong seat projections under Quebec's first-past-the-post system. The Coalition Avenir Québec has declined sharply following leadership transition and governance fatigue, while the Quebec Liberal Party has stabilized in second place but trails in most models. These trends, reflected in recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data through early August, underpin trader consensus favoring a PQ plurality or majority. The campaign launch expected by late August and any shifts in undecided voters could still influence final seat outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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