Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s 13 September 2026 parliamentary election show Sverigedemokraterna (SD) consistently ahead of Moderaterna (M), with SD support in the 19–20.4 % range and M between 16.8–17.3 % across major surveys such as Demoskop, Novus and Indikator Opinion conducted through early August. SD’s lead over M has held steady for months, reflecting voter preferences within the right-leaning Tidö bloc that currently governs under Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson. The Social Democrats remain the largest party overall, but the direct contest between SD and M continues to favor the former in head-to-head polling averages. With the election less than a month away and no major late shifts reported, trader pricing reflects the durable polling gap between the two parties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于瑞典民主党（SD）
83% 概率
最新
最新
2026-09-13
瑞典民主党（SD）
83% 概率
最新
最新
2026-09-13
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “SD” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins more valid votes than Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “M” if Moderate Party (M) wins more valid votes than Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Sweden Democrats (SD) and Moderate Party (M) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s 13 September 2026 parliamentary election show Sverigedemokraterna (SD) consistently ahead of Moderaterna (M), with SD support in the 19–20.4 % range and M between 16.8–17.3 % across major surveys such as Demoskop, Novus and Indikator Opinion conducted through early August. SD’s lead over M has held steady for months, reflecting voter preferences within the right-leaning Tidö bloc that currently governs under Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson. The Social Democrats remain the largest party overall, but the direct contest between SD and M continues to favor the former in head-to-head polling averages. With the election less than a month away and no major late shifts reported, trader pricing reflects the durable polling gap between the two parties.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “SD” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins more valid votes than Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “M” if Moderate Party (M) wins more valid votes than Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Sweden Democrats (SD) and Moderate Party (M) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “SD” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins more valid votes than Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “M” if Moderate Party (M) wins more valid votes than Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Sweden Democrats (SD) and Moderate Party (M) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 5:22 AM ET
交易量
$2,061结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 5:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “SD” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins more valid votes than Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “M” if Moderate Party (M) wins more valid votes than Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Sweden Democrats (SD) and Moderate Party (M) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s 13 September 2026 parliamentary election show Sverigedemokraterna (SD) consistently ahead of Moderaterna (M), with SD support in the 19–20.4 % range and M between 16.8–17.3 % across major surveys such as Demoskop, Novus and Indikator Opinion conducted through early August. SD’s lead over M has held steady for months, reflecting voter preferences within the right-leaning Tidö bloc that currently governs under Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson. The Social Democrats remain the largest party overall, but the direct contest between SD and M continues to favor the former in head-to-head polling averages. With the election less than a month away and no major late shifts reported, trader pricing reflects the durable polling gap between the two parties.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “SD” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins more valid votes than Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “M” if Moderate Party (M) wins more valid votes than Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Sweden Democrats (SD) and Moderate Party (M) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “SD” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins more valid votes than Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “M” if Moderate Party (M) wins more valid votes than Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Sweden Democrats (SD) and Moderate Party (M) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$2,061结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 5:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s 13 September 2026 parliamentary election show Sverigedemokraterna (SD) consistently ahead of Moderaterna (M), with SD support in the 19–20.4 % range and M between 16.8–17.3 % across major surveys such as Demoskop, Novus and Indikator Opinion conducted through early August. SD’s lead over M has held steady for months, reflecting voter preferences within the right-leaning Tidö bloc that currently governs under Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson. The Social Democrats remain the largest party overall, but the direct contest between SD and M continues to favor the former in head-to-head polling averages. With the election less than a month away and no major late shifts reported, trader pricing reflects the durable polling gap between the two parties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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