Ongoing military operations and unresolved core disputes continue to shape trader expectations against a comprehensive Ukraine-Russia peace agreement by June 30. Kremlin officials stated in early May that full settlement remains far off due to complex issues, following a brief three-day ceasefire and limited prisoner exchange mediated by the United States. Russian forces maintain demands for Ukrainian withdrawal from eastern regions as a precondition for talks, while Ukrainian positions emphasize security guarantees and territorial integrity. Recent cross-border strikes, including Ukrainian attacks on Russian energy infrastructure, underscore the absence of sustained de-escalation. With negotiations paused and no major diplomatic breakthroughs in the past month, the consensus reflects persistent battlefield realities and stalled bilateral progress.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$440,099 交易量
$440,099 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$440,099 交易量
$440,099 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing military operations and unresolved core disputes continue to shape trader expectations against a comprehensive Ukraine-Russia peace agreement by June 30. Kremlin officials stated in early May that full settlement remains far off due to complex issues, following a brief three-day ceasefire and limited prisoner exchange mediated by the United States. Russian forces maintain demands for Ukrainian withdrawal from eastern regions as a precondition for talks, while Ukrainian positions emphasize security guarantees and territorial integrity. Recent cross-border strikes, including Ukrainian attacks on Russian energy infrastructure, underscore the absence of sustained de-escalation. With negotiations paused and no major diplomatic breakthroughs in the past month, the consensus reflects persistent battlefield realities and stalled bilateral progress.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ET
交易量
$440,099结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing military operations and unresolved core disputes continue to shape trader expectations against a comprehensive Ukraine-Russia peace agreement by June 30. Kremlin officials stated in early May that full settlement remains far off due to complex issues, following a brief three-day ceasefire and limited prisoner exchange mediated by the United States. Russian forces maintain demands for Ukrainian withdrawal from eastern regions as a precondition for talks, while Ukrainian positions emphasize security guarantees and territorial integrity. Recent cross-border strikes, including Ukrainian attacks on Russian energy infrastructure, underscore the absence of sustained de-escalation. With negotiations paused and no major diplomatic breakthroughs in the past month, the consensus reflects persistent battlefield realities and stalled bilateral progress.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$440,099结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing military operations and unresolved core disputes continue to shape trader expectations against a comprehensive Ukraine-Russia peace agreement by June 30. Kremlin officials stated in early May that full settlement remains far off due to complex issues, following a brief three-day ceasefire and limited prisoner exchange mediated by the United States. Russian forces maintain demands for Ukrainian withdrawal from eastern regions as a precondition for talks, while Ukrainian positions emphasize security guarantees and territorial integrity. Recent cross-border strikes, including Ukrainian attacks on Russian energy infrastructure, underscore the absence of sustained de-escalation. With negotiations paused and no major diplomatic breakthroughs in the past month, the consensus reflects persistent battlefield realities and stalled bilateral progress.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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